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Trump’s Manufacturing Dreams Clash With Business Owners’ Reality

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(Bloomberg) -- When President Donald Trump said last week that he was using tariffs to remake American trade policy and bolster domestic manufacturing, entrepreneur Evita Chu started calling around to see if she could source some of the yarn she buys from China and Europe in the US instead.

She stumbled upon a yarn mill in Wisconsin. “Oh wow, there are these mills and we’d never heard of them,” Chu said. “That’s the positive side.”

The negative?

The mill doesn’t have the technology to spin the yarn as finely as Chu requires. Her 14-person factory in Los Angeles produces knitwear for high-end US brands that demand top-notch quality. And the Wisconsin mill would only sell her 500 pounds at a time — way more than she needs. So, despite tariffs, Chu said her company, PDR Knitting, plans to stick with the mills she already works with in Italy and elsewhere abroad.

The Trump administration’s tariffs are forcing American companies that rely on imported goods to reconsider their supply chains. But even with the levies, many business owners are realizing that working with US factories isn’t feasible — there aren’t enough of them, costs are higher and many lack the capacity and capabilities of those in other countries.

That’s causing companies to stick with existing overseas suppliers while rolling out price increases to counter the tariffs. It’s a sign that the tariffs alone won’t be enough to spark a US manufacturing renaissance.

Lauren Greenwood, president of Chicago-based YouCopia, estimated that levies would make it roughly 20% cheaper to manufacture and sell her home storage and organization products in the US instead of China. But a string of additional costs would eat up much — if not all — of the difference.

YouCopia, which sells a popular bakeware rack, has to weigh the expense of moving existing manufacturing tools to the US or investing in new ones, as well as importing parts that aren’t made in the US. The company would also need to find local packaging suppliers and move warehouse storage closer to the new point of production. Higher US labor costs, a limited number of workers and the possibility of an economic recession add additional expenses and risks, Greenwood said.

Later Wednesday, the calculus shifted once again when Trump announced a 90-day pause on tariffs for most countries and a hike on Chinese goods. On Thursday, Trump said the rate stood at 145%. Greenwood’s calculation of a 20% gap further widened — but the abrupt shifts also increase uncertainty.

“How can you make major decisions and investments when you just don’t know if what’s true today is true tomorrow?” Greenwood said. “There’s no trust there.”