Transport Corporation of India Limited (NSE:TCI) Might Not Be A Great Investment

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Today we’ll look at Transport Corporation of India Limited (NSE:TCI) and reflect on its potential as an investment. In particular, we’ll consider its Return On Capital Employed (ROCE), as that can give us insight into how profitably the company is able to employ capital in its business.

Firstly, we’ll go over how we calculate ROCE. Second, we’ll look at its ROCE compared to similar companies. Last but not least, we’ll look at what impact its current liabilities have on its ROCE.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

ROCE measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. All else being equal, a better business will have a higher ROCE. Ultimately, it is a useful but imperfect metric. Renowned investment researcher Michael Mauboussin has suggested that a high ROCE can indicate that ‘one dollar invested in the company generates value of more than one dollar’.

How Do You Calculate Return On Capital Employed?

The formula for calculating the return on capital employed is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets – Current Liabilities)

Or for Transport of India:

0.17 = ₹1.6b ÷ (₹14b – ₹4.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2018.)

Therefore, Transport of India has an ROCE of 17%.

View our latest analysis for Transport of India

Is Transport of India’s ROCE Good?

ROCE is commonly used for comparing the performance of similar businesses. We can see Transport of India’s ROCE is meaningfully below the Logistics industry average of 21%. This could be seen as a negative, as it suggests some competitors may be employing their capital more efficiently. Regardless of where Transport of India sits next to its industry, its ROCE in absolute terms appears satisfactory, and this company could be worth a closer look.

NSEI:TCI Last Perf February 5th 19
NSEI:TCI Last Perf February 5th 19

When considering ROCE, bear in mind that it reflects the past and does not necessarily predict the future. ROCE can be misleading for companies in cyclical industries, with returns looking impressive during the boom times, but very weak during the busts. ROCE is only a point-in-time measure. What happens in the future is pretty important for investors, so we have prepared a free report on analyst forecasts for Transport of India.

Do Transport of India’s Current Liabilities Skew Its ROCE?

Current liabilities include invoices, such as supplier payments, short-term debt, or a tax bill, that need to be paid within 12 months. The ROCE equation subtracts current liabilities from capital employed, so a company with a lot of current liabilities appears to have less capital employed, and a higher ROCE than otherwise. To counter this, investors can check if a company has high current liabilities relative to total assets.