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When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For instance, the price of TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE:TDG) stock is up an impressive 295% over the last five years. The last week saw the share price soften some 2.5%.
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
See our latest analysis for TransDigm Group
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
Over half a decade, TransDigm Group managed to grow its earnings per share at 22% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 32% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 45.58.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
It is of course excellent to see how TransDigm Group has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at TransDigm Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, TransDigm Group's TSR for the last 5 years was 344%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that TransDigm Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 22% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 35% per year, is even more impressive. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that TransDigm Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...