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Toro (NASDAQ:TORO) Shareholders Should Be Cautious Despite Solid Earnings

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Toro Corp.'s (NASDAQ:TORO) solid earnings report last week was underwhelming to investors. We think that they may be worried about something else, so we did some analysis and found that investors have noticed some soft numbers underlying the profit.

See our latest analysis for Toro

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqCM:TORO Earnings and Revenue History November 19th 2024

A Closer Look At Toro's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Toro has an accrual ratio of 0.76 for the year to September 2024. Ergo, its free cash flow is significantly weaker than its profit. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$23m, which is significantly less than its profit of US$136.0m. We note, however, that Toro grew its free cash flow over the last year. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Toro.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Toro's profit was boosted by unusual items worth US$99m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Toro had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.