Top analyst revisits Micron stock price target ahead of Q1 earnings

In This Article:

Micron Technology shares moved higher in early Monday trading after a top Wall Street analyst issued a bullish note on the memory chip marker ahead of its quarterly earnings report later in the week.

Micron  (MU)  has underperformed the Nasdaq this year, rising around 24% compared with the benchmark's 32.7% gain as pricing for the tech group's DRAM memory chips, a key consumer-tech product component that makes up around a third of its overall revenue, remains muted.

Investors are betting, however, on Micron's newly established position in the market for HBM, or high-bandwidth-memory, chips, which improve performance and reduce power consumption in AI systems.

Those chips, including a new HBM3E iteration, are now being built into Nvidia's  (NVDA)  H200 processors, as well as its newly developed Blackwell systems. The chips have established Micron as one of just a few global companies that can compete in this fast-growing market.

That place was confirmed earlier this month by $6.1 billion in support from the U.S. government's Chips and Science Act aimed at supporting Micron's plans to invest around $125 billion in new production facilities in New York and Idaho.

“Leading-edge memory chips are foundational to all advanced technologies, and America is rebuilding its capacity to produce these critical capabilities for the first time in almost two decades,” said U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo.

DRAM pricing weakness, tied in part to fading consumer demand, will likely hover over the group's fiscal-first-quarter earnings, expected after the close of trading Wednesday.

Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra has said the market for HBM chips will rise to around $25 billion this year.MANDEL NGAN/Getty Images
Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra has said the market for HBM chips will rise to around $25 billion this year.MANDEL NGAN/Getty Images

Micron is expected to post profit of around $1.72 a share, with revenue rising around 85% from a year earlier to $8.72 billion.

Solid HBM, soft DRAM results seen at Micron

Micron itself forecast revenue in the region of $8.7 billion, with a $200 million margin of error, as well as earnings of around $1.74 a share.

Profit margins, Micron said, would improve by 3 percentage points to 39.5% thanks in part to a heavier mix of higher-priced HBM sales.

Related: Analysts overhaul Broadcom stock price targets after Q4 earnings

The group estimated the total addressable market for HBM chips, which are also made by South Korea's SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, rising to around $25 billion in 2025 from $4 billion in 2023.

Citigroup analyst Christopher Danely, who reiterated his buy rating and $150 price target on Micron in a note published Monday, expects the group to post "results and guidance slightly below consensus, driven by legacy DRAM weakness."