Top 5 US-Mexico trade stories of 2024
The U.S.-Mexico commercial transportation industry saw increased trade in 2024, along with a jump in Mexican cargo theft and disruptions at border bridges. (Photo: Jim Allen/FreightWaves)
The U.S.-Mexico commercial transportation industry saw increased trade in 2024, along with a jump in Mexican cargo theft and disruptions at border bridges. (Photo: Jim Allen/FreightWaves)

In 2023, Mexico supplanted Canada and China as the top source of imports to the U.S.

Throughout 2024, Mexico solidified its place as the top U.S. trading partner, boosted by cross-border commerce for automotive goods, computers, cell phones, oil and fresh produce.

While U.S.-Mexico cross-border trade continues to rise, other major stories include ongoing cargo theft against carriers and truck driver labor disputes in the country, as well as President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff plans.

As 2024 comes to an end, here’s a look back at five of the biggest stories.

US-Mexico trade to top $800B in 2024

Mexico is the United States’ top trading partner once again, outperforming China and Canada in two-way trade in 2024. It was the second consecutive year Mexico held that spot.

From January through October, U.S.-Mexico trade totaled $706.9 billion, a 5% year-over-year increase compared to the same period last year, according to the latest Census Bureau data.

Mexico is on pace to eclipse the $799 billion in two-way trade it achieved with the U.S. in 2023, boosted by exports of gasoline and other fuels and imports of commercial trucks, passenger vehicles and auto parts. (Read two of FreightWaves’ articles here and here.)

Truckload volumes moving from Mexico to the U.S. were up 9% year over year on Oct. 29 but had dropped about 19% year over year as of Nov. 6, according to the SONAR Northbound Mexico Truckload Volume Index (MEXVOL.MEXUSA).

SONAR’s Northbound Mexico Truckload Volume (MEXVOL.MEXUSA) contract trucking volumes have been trending lower since Oct. 29. To learn more about FreightWaves SONAR, click <a href="https://sonar.freightwaves.com/sonar-demo-request?utm_source=FreightWaves&utm_medium=Editorial&utm_campaign=SONAR" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" data-ylk="slk:here;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas" class="link ">here</a>.
SONAR’s Northbound Mexico Truckload Volume (MEXVOL.MEXUSA) contract trucking volumes have been trending lower since Oct. 29. To learn more about FreightWaves SONAR, click here.

Trump tariff threat creating trade uncertainty

Trump said that on his first day back in office on Jan. 20, he will impose 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada.

The tariffs are aimed at pressuring those countries to stop drugs and illegal migrants from crossing into the U.S., Trump said. He has also said he’ll impose an additional 10% tariff on Chinese imports to fight drugs coming from that country. (Read two of FreightWaves’ articles here and here.)

While it remains to be seen if Trump will go through with implementing the tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, trade and supply chain professionals said shippers are concerned about how the tariffs could affect global freight flows.

Sri Laxmana, vice president of Americas at freight broker and 3PL giant C.H. Robinson, said the company began hearing from concerned customers as soon as Trump made the announcement.

“We’ve been pulled into countless customer meetings to run risk scenarios for if Canada and Mexico tariffs were implemented,” Laxmana told FreightWaves in an email. “Many of our customers — especially in the automotive space — treat North America as one integrated supply chain with some of their freight actually crossing both the Mexico and Canada borders.”