Top 5 Things to Watch in Markets in the Week Ahead

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By Noreen Burke

Investing.com -- After data on Thursday showing that the U.S. economy is on the cusp of a recession this Friday’s monthly employment report will be even more highly anticipated than usual. The report is expected to show that the labor market remains robust, despite reports that some companies are cutting jobs and freezing hiring. Investors will also continue to digest a slew of earnings results with dozens of companies set to report in the coming week. Several Fed officials are set to speak, and their comments will also be closely watched. Meanwhile, the Bank of England is expected to accelerate the pace of rate hikes as it steps up efforts to curb inflation. Here’s what you need to know to start your week.

Nonfarm payrolls

Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report for July will show whether the recent barrage of Fed rate hikes have impacted the labor market.

Analysts expect the economy to have added 250,000 jobs in July, moderating from June’s pace of 372,000, while the unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at a historic low of 3.6%.

A smaller than expected number could bolster the view that the Fed may not be as aggressive as expected when it comes to interest rate hikes after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last week that the central bank’s September rate decision will be data dependent.

The Fed hiked rates by 0.75% on Wednesday, the second hike in a row of that size.

After data last Thursday showed the U.S. economy contracted in the second quarter, equity markets were boosted by bets that interest rates would rise more slowly.

Fedspeak

Investors will get a chance to hear from several Fed officials this week, including Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester. Their comments will be watched for any indications that a smaller rate hike may be on the cards in September after recent data pointing to economic weakness.

Given mounting fears over the prospect of a recession, market watchers will also be paying particular attention to the Institute of Supply Management’s manufacturing PMI on Monday, and the ISM services PMI on Wednesday, which are both expected to confirm that the economy is slowing.

The U.S. is also to release data on JOLTS job openings on Tuesday. While job openings have been easing in recent months they are expected to remain at elevated levels.

Earnings deluge

Some better-than-expected earnings reports helped boost stocks last week and the deluge of earnings results is set to continue in the coming week with a broad range of companies, including Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI), Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Uber (NYSE:UBER) and Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) reporting.