PureCircle Limited (LON:PURE), which is in the food business, and is based in Malaysia, saw significant share price volatility over the past couple of months on the LSE, rising to the highs of £4.05 and falling to the lows of £2.98. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether PureCircle’s current trading price of £3 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at PureCircle’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
View our latest analysis for PureCircle
What’s the opportunity in PureCircle?
According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 24.24%, trading at US$3.00 compared to my intrinsic value of £2.41. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! Another thing to keep in mind is that PureCircle’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.
Can we expect growth from PureCircle?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. PureCircle’s earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in PURE’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe PURE should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on PURE for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for PURE, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.