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Arvind Limited (NSEI:ARVIND), a luxury company based in India, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NSEI over the last few months, increasing to ₹431.15 at one point, and dropping to the lows of ₹378.05. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether Arvind’s current trading price of ₹409.15 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Arvind’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. Check out our latest analysis for Arvind
Is Arvind still cheap?
According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 71%, trading at ₹409.15 compared to my intrinsic value of ₹238.58. This means that the opportunity to buy Arvind at a good price has disappeared! In addition to this, it seems like Arvind’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
Can we expect growth from Arvind?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Arvind. It looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in ARVIND’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe ARVIND should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ARVIND for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for ARVIND, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.