Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SGX:S51), a machinery company based in Singapore, saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the SGX. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Sembcorp Marine’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity. See our latest analysis for Sembcorp Marine

What is Sembcorp Marine worth?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 75%, trading at S$2.25 compared to my intrinsic value of SGD1.29. This means that the opportunity to buy Sembcorp Marine at a good price has disappeared! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Sembcorp Marine’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Sembcorp Marine look like?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Sembcorp Marine. It looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? S51’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe S51 should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on S51 for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for S51, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.