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Timbercreek Financial Corp. (TSE:TF) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.058 per share on the 15th of July. This makes the dividend yield 7.2%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
View our latest analysis for Timbercreek Financial
Timbercreek Financial Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 142% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 72%. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 40.9%. However, if the dividend continues growing along recent trends, it could start putting pressure on the balance sheet with the payout ratio reaching 104% over the next year.
Timbercreek Financial Doesn't Have A Long Payment History
The dividend's track record has been pretty solid, but with only 5 years of history we want to see a few more years of history before making any solid conclusions. The first annual payment during the last 5 years was CA$0.68 in 2016, and the most recent fiscal year payment was CA$0.69. Dividend payments have been growing, but very slowly over the period. Modest dividend growth is good to see, especially with the payments being relatively stable. However, the payment history is relatively short and we wouldn't want to rely on this dividend too much.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. In the last five years, Timbercreek Financial's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 6.7% per annum. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
Timbercreek Financial's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We don't think Timbercreek Financial is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.