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Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ:STX) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 13% in the last month. But the silver lining is the stock is up over five years. In that time, it is up 63%, which isn't bad, but is below the market return of 102%.
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
View our latest analysis for Seagate Technology Holdings
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the five years of share price growth, Seagate Technology Holdings moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd hope to see the share price to rise.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
We know that Seagate Technology Holdings has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Seagate Technology Holdings, it has a TSR of 99% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
Seagate Technology Holdings shareholders have received returns of 32% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 15%. It is possible that management foresight will bring growth well into the future, even if the share price slows down. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Seagate Technology Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Seagate Technology Holdings (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.