In This Article:
The stock price didn't jump after Hudbay Minerals Inc. (TSE:HBM) posted decent earnings last week. We did some digging and believe investors may be worried about some underlying factors in the report.
Check out our latest analysis for Hudbay Minerals
One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. Hudbay Minerals expanded the number of shares on issue by 13% over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Hudbay Minerals' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
A Look At The Impact Of Hudbay Minerals' Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Three years ago, Hudbay Minerals lost money. The good news is that profit was up 16% in the last twelve months. But EPS was far less impressive, dropping 4.7% in that time. This is a great example of why it's rather imprudent to rely only on net income as a growth measure. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.
In the long term, if Hudbay Minerals' earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Hudbay Minerals' Profit Performance
Each Hudbay Minerals share now gets a meaningfully smaller slice of its overall profit, due to dilution of existing shareholders. Because of this, we think that it may be that Hudbay Minerals' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Obviously, we love to consider the historical data to inform our opinion of a company. But it can be really valuable to consider what other analysts are forecasting. So feel free to check out our free graph representing analyst forecasts.