How Should You Think About Hong Kong Resources Holdings Company Limited’s (HKG:2882) Risks?

For Hong Kong Resources Holdings Company Limited’s (SEHK:2882) shareholders, and also potential investors in the stock, understanding how the stock’s risk and return characteristics can impact your portfolio is important. Every stock in the market is exposed to market risk, which arises from macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and geo-political tussles just to name a few. This is measured by its beta. Different characteristics of a stock expose it to various levels of market risk, and the broad market index represents a beta value of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is considered more sensitive to market-wide shocks compared to a stock that trades below the value of one.

Check out our latest analysis for Hong Kong Resources Holdings

What does 2882’s beta value mean?

With a beta of 1.56, Hong Kong Resources Holdings is a stock that tends to experience more gains than the market during a growth phase and also a bigger reduction in value compared to the market during a broad downturn. Based on this beta value, 2882 may be a stock for investors with a portfolio mainly made up of low-beta stocks. This is because during times of bullish sentiment, you can reap more of the upside with high-beta stocks compared to muted movements of low-beta holdings.

Does 2882’s size and industry impact the expected beta?

2882, with its market capitalisation of HK$321.08M, is a small-cap stock, which generally have higher beta than similar companies of larger size. In addition to size, 2882 also operates in the specialty retail industry, which has commonly demonstrated strong reactions to market-wide shocks. Therefore, investors may expect high beta associated with small companies, as well as those operating in the specialty retail industry, relative to those more well-established firms in a more defensive industry. This is consistent with 2882’s individual beta value we discussed above. Next, we will examine the fundamental factors which can cause cyclicality in the stock.

SEHK:2882 Income Statement Feb 22nd 18
SEHK:2882 Income Statement Feb 22nd 18

How 2882’s assets could affect its beta

During times of economic downturn, low demand may cause companies to readjust production of their goods and services. It is more difficult for companies to lower their cost, if the majority of these costs are generated by fixed assets. Therefore, this is a type of risk which is associated with higher beta. I examine 2882’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets to see whether the company is highly exposed to the risk of this type of constraint. 2882’s fixed assets to total assets ratio of higher than 30% shows that the company uses up a big chunk of its capital on assets that are hard to scale up or down in short notice. Thus, we can expect 2882 to be more volatile in the face of market movements, relative to its peers of similar size but with a lower proportion of fixed assets on their books. This is consistent with is current beta value which also indicates high volatility.