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Brembo S.p.A. (BIT:BRE), which is in the auto components business, and is based in Italy, led the BIT gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Brembo’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
Check out our latest analysis for Brembo
What is Brembo worth?
According to my valuation model, Brembo seems to be fairly priced at around 12.88% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Brembo today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth €6.62, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Brembo’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
What kind of growth will Brembo generate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a negative profit growth of -4.4% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Brembo. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? BRE seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on BRE for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help gel your views on BRE should the price fluctuate below its true value.