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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Although, when we looked at Telephone and Data Systems (NYSE:TDS), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Telephone and Data Systems:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.016 = US$204m ÷ (US$14b - US$1.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Telephone and Data Systems has an ROCE of 1.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Wireless Telecom industry average of 12%.
Check out our latest analysis for Telephone and Data Systems
In the above chart we have measured Telephone and Data Systems' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Telephone and Data Systems .
What Does the ROCE Trend For Telephone and Data Systems Tell Us?
The returns on capital haven't changed much for Telephone and Data Systems in recent years. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 1.6% and the business has deployed 28% more capital into its operations. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
Our Take On Telephone and Data Systems' ROCE
Long story short, while Telephone and Data Systems has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 143% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing Telephone and Data Systems that you might find interesting.