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Since October 2024, TEGNA has been in a holding pattern, floating around $16.22. However, the stock is beating the S&P 500’s 5.3% decline during that period.
Is now the time to buy TEGNA, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Dive into our full research report to see our analyst team’s opinion, it’s free.
Even with the strong relative performance, we're sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons why there are better opportunities than TGNA and a stock we'd rather own.
Why Is TEGNA Not Exciting?
Spun out of Gannett in 2015, TEGNA (NYSE:TGNA) is a media company operating a network of television stations and digital platforms, focusing on local news and community content.
1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints
Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Even a bad business can shine for one or two quarters, but a top-tier one grows for years. Unfortunately, TEGNA’s 6.2% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was sluggish. This was below our standard for the consumer discretionary sector.
2. Revenue Projections Show Stormy Skies Ahead
Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.
Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect TEGNA’s revenue to drop by 10.9%, a decrease from its 2.7% annualized declines for the past two years. This projection is underwhelming and implies its products and services will face some demand challenges.
3. Cash Flow Margin Set to Decline
If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.
Over the next year, analysts predict TEGNA’s cash conversion will fall. Their consensus estimates imply its free cash flow margin of 20.4% for the last 12 months will decrease to 11%.
Final Judgment
TEGNA isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our bar. Following its recent outperformance amid a softer market environment, the stock trades at 8.6× forward price-to-earnings (or $16.22 per share). While this valuation is optically cheap, the potential downside is big given its shaky fundamentals. We're pretty confident there are superior stocks to buy right now. Let us point you toward one of our all-time favorite software stocks.
Stocks We Would Buy Instead of TEGNA
Market indices reached historic highs following Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November 2024, but the outlook for 2025 is clouded by new trade policies that could impact business confidence and growth.