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Taxes 2020: When to file and what changes to expect

Just how eager you are to file your 2019 tax return, which the IRS begins accepting on Jan. 27 — depends on a lot of things.

Did you get socked with a bigger tax bill than usual last year after the sweeping changes under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act? Did you suddenly owe money when you always got a refund?

Or do you feel more confident after you got last year's taxes done under the new rules?

Either way, you might as well get an early start long before that April 15 tax deadline.

Many people, of course, file early in the season because they're banking on a four-figure tax refund — including payouts from the Earned Income Tax Credit — to cover the bills.

The average federal income tax refund was $2,869 in 2019 based on returns filed through Dec. 27, 2019. That's down slightly from an average of $2,910 in 2018.

Roughly 72% of the nearly 156 million tax returns filed through late December generated a tax refund, according to the latest IRS filing season statistics.

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Here's what you need to consider whether you're filing your tax return in late January — or mid April:

Do you itemize or take the standard deduction?

Many people imagine that they've got a long list of expenses that they can take as itemized deductions on 2019 tax returns.

And you might be dragging your feet as you try digging up receipts. Plenty of people can forget about setting them aside during the year.

The reality is that the standard deduction — which went up as part of Trump's tax reform that was enacted in December 2017 — is fairly tough to beat, and the odds have gone up that many tax filers simply will take the standard deduction.

Roughly 10% of tax filers likely ended up claiming itemizing deductions — such as interest paid on their mortgages — on their 2018 tax returns. That’s down from roughly 30% in previous years, thanks to the significant changes in tax rules that initially went into effect on the 2018 tax returns we filed last year. Based on the latest IRS data, 14.6 million taxpayers itemized in 2019 compared with 42.1 million itemized returns in 2018.

The percentage is expected to be similar for 2019 returns.

What is your standard deduction? You’re not going to itemize unless the value of all your deductions exceeds the standard deduction — now $12,200 for single filers, up from $12,000 for 2018.

A married couple filing jointly, for example, would have a standard deduction of $24,400 on a 2019 return — an extra $400 from the 2018 return.