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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think System1 Group (LON:SYS1) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for System1 Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.18 = UK£1.7m ÷ (UK£16m - UK£5.9m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, System1 Group has an ROCE of 18%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 11% generated by the Media industry.
See our latest analysis for System1 Group
Above you can see how the current ROCE for System1 Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Can We Tell From System1 Group's ROCE Trend?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at System1 Group doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 18% from 27% five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that System1 Group is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 33% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. Therefore we'd recommend looking further into this stock to confirm if it has the makings of a good investment.
One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with System1 Group (including 1 which can't be ignored) .