Will Synthetic Biology Evolve Into the Next Hot Field?

Synthetic biology grew from a very old human desire to engineer living systems and make them do useful things for us.

As genetic engineering of the 1970s has evolved into synthetic biology today, the technologies and economics for sequencing (reading) and synthesizing (writing) DNA have become optimized for large-scale DNA processing. This allows synthetic biologists to design and modify the genetics of living systems so that they produce a wide variety of materials for us that don’t occur in nature, such as drugs, biofuels, flavors, fragrances and more.

The field is garnering the attention of entrepreneurs and investors -- here are some things you should know that help explain why.

1. The growing "Bioeconomy." Domestic revenues in the U.S. from genetically modified systems are growing faster than the economy as a whole, weighing in at approximately 10 percent annually, according to Rob Carlson, principal at Biodesic and bioeconomic consultant to The White House. The Genetically Modified Domestic Product in 2012 (GMDP) was $350 billion, or roughly 2.5 percent of GDP, up $50 billion from 2010.

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The Woodrow Wilson Centre for International Scholars concluded in its 2013 findings on the growth of synthetic biology that “the number of entities conducting research in synthetic biology increased significantly between 2009 and 2013, resulting in a total of 508 unique entities in the 2013 inventory.” The number of synthetic biology companies has also more than tripled in that timeframe, growing from 61 to 192. Market research shows that the global synthetic biology market was valued at $1.1 billion in 2010 and is expected to reach $10.8 billion by 2016. The market’s expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 45.8 percent.

“Although synthetic biology is still in the very early experimental phase, it could become the defining technology of the 21st century," says Fidelity Investments fixed-income analyst Rob Chan in a video, "bringing with it radical new thinking, new questions and new opportunities, because nothing has the power to change how we live more than changing life itself.”

2. The shrinking cost of the sequenced genome. Why the growth? The cost of sequencing DNA has been plummeting since “next generation” sequencers hit the market in 2007. It did so at a rate that far surpassed Moore’s Law -- the rule that says computing power doubles and gets cheaper about every two years. However, as Carlson explains on his blog, the most up-to-date data shows that the cost curves are no longer exponentially decreasing. This is likely a healthy reflection of the fact that the companies involved are not losing revenues.