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Street Calls of the Week

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Investing.com -- Here is your Pro Recap of the top takeaways from Wall Street analysts for the past week.

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Kraft-Heinz Co

What happened? On Monday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) downgraded Kraft Heinz Co (NASDAQ:KHC) to Neutral with a $65 price target.

*TLDR: Mizuho downgrades to Neutral as reformulations fail to boost demand. Mondelez preferred for large-cap investors.

What’s the full story? Mizuho downgrades Kraft Heinz to Neutral, trimming its FY25 EPS estimate to $3.00 from $3.08, below the Street’s $3.05. The analysts had been optimistic that years of product reformulations—ditching artificial flavors, colors, etc.—would lure cash-strapped consumers back to KHC’s brands instead of trading down to private label. Instead, U.S. market share is slipping as center-store volumes soften, despite KHC’s efforts to slash low-ROI promotions and boost margins (North America EBIT margins up 300bps since FY22). Reinvestment in brand-building and analytics hasn’t yet paid off, and Q3 earnings dimmed hopes for 2025 growth.

At 8.7x CY25 EBITDA—a 20% discount to U.S. food peers vs. a historical 25% discount—and a 5.5% dividend yield, Mizuho sees limited downside but expects shares to trade range-bound amid macro and execution risks. For large-cap investors, the analysts prefer Mondelez (NASDAQ:MDLZ), which presumably hasn’t been haunted by the ghost of artificial flavors—or Kraft’s soggy volumes.

First Solar

What happened? On Tuesday, Mizuho upgraded First Solar Inc (NASDAQ:FSLR) to Outperform with a $259 price target.

*TLDR: First Solar upgraded for tech edge, resilience. Analysts see tariffs, TOPCon driving outperformance.

What’s the full story? Mizuho’s upgrade is driven by a brighter post-2026 sales outlook. First Solar’s edge lies in its dominance of TOPCon technology, which leaves U.S. competitors stuck with pricier, less efficient PERC cells. Roth’s channel checks suggest this tech advantage solidifies First Solar’s position as the leader in a crowded field.

The stock’s YTD underperformance, the analysts note, likely reflects fears that the 45X manufacturing tax credit could vanish under a Republican administration. But here’s the kicker: even in Mizuho’s base case—where 45X gets a one-year off-ramp before expiring in 2027—First Solar is cushioned by tariffs, giving it stronger negotiating power. This resilience prompts Mizuho to raise 2027-2032 ASP estimates and bump its DCF-based price target by 19% to $259.