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Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. Having said that, after a brief look, Straco (SGX:S85) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Straco is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.10 = S$34m ÷ (S$351m - S$14m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
So, Straco has an ROCE of 10%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 4.5% generated by the Hospitality industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Straco
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Straco's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Straco has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Straco's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Can We Tell From Straco's ROCE Trend?
There is reason to be cautious about Straco, given the returns are trending downwards. To be more specific, the ROCE was 17% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Straco becoming one if things continue as they have.
The Bottom Line
In summary, it's unfortunate that Straco is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 29% from where it was five years ago. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.