US stocks tumbled across the board on Friday after the July jobs report showed a further cooling in the labor market, fueling concerns the Federal Reserve's "higher for longer" interest-rate stance might end in recession and that the central bank may have waited too long to start lowering rates.
The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) dropped 2.6% after the jobs report's release. That plunged the tech-heavy index into correction territory, defined as a more than 10% drop from its recent high on July 10.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) slumped 1.5%, or more than 600 points. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) sank 1.8%.
All three major indexes recorded weekly losses. The S&P and the Dow fell 2%, while the Nasdaq shed 3%. The Russell 2000 (RUT) fared even worse, posting a weekly loss of about 6.8%.
On Friday, new data showed the US economy added fewer jobs than expected in July, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.3%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics' nonfarm payrolls report showed. Those additional signs of a slowdown in the labor market are likely to feed recession fears and rate-cut expectations.
Traders are now pricing in three rate cuts this year — in September, November, and December — and bets are on a 50 basis-point reduction in September. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury (^TNX) dropped further below the 4% level after the labor-market update, trading around 3.79%.
News on individual stocks was just as downbeat as the economic data. Chipmaker Intel's (INTC) bruising earnings report added to the pressure on stocks amid questions about the payoff of AI investments for Big Tech.
Meanwhile, Amazon stock slid almost 9% on the heels of sales guidance that undershot Wall Street estimates. Apple (AAPL) shares were a relative winner, up less than 1% after the company beat on earnings even as it reported a slide in iPhone sales.
This left Wall Street wondering whether the economic slowdown shown in recent data means the Federal Reserve has kept interest rates at historic highs for too long, risking an economic downturn.
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Hamza Shaban
The Nasdaq enters correction and the Dow sheds 600 points
US stocks tumbled across the board on Friday after the July jobs report showed more cooling in the labor market, fueling concerns the central bank may have waited too long to start lowering rates.
The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) dropped 2.6% after the jobs report's release. That plunged the tech-heavy index into correction territory, more than 10% below its recent high in early July.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) slumped 1.5%, or more than 600 points. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) sank 1.8%. All three major indexes recorded weekly losses. The S&P and the Dow fell 2%, while the Nasdaq shed 3%. The Russell 2000 (RUT) fared even worse, posting a weekly loss of about 6.8%.
Hamza Shaban
A look at the week ahead
Investors will greet the first full week of August following a volatile series of sessions, a disappointing July jobs report, and heightened chatter over the size of the Fed's widely expected September rate cut.
The tech giants posted mixed results in recent days. And the market will be looking to see whether the sector rebounds from correction territory, as the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) has fallen more than 10% below its recent high in early July.
Meanwhile, a fresh slate of major names is on deck to report next week, continuing an earnings season playing out against a presidential election and fresh economic data that has rekindled discussion of a potential recession.
Disney (DIS), Uber (UBER), Eli Lilly (LLY), and Novo Nordisk (NVO) are scheduled to report in the coming days.
Here's a look at the earnings calendar for next week:
Anticipated earnings releases for the week of August 5, 2024. (Earnings Whispers)
Ines Ferré
Nvidia stock sinks as chips get hammered, on track to end week in red
Intel results out late Thursday missed on the top and bottom lines as the company also announced a $10 billion cost reduction plan, which includes cutting 15% of its workforce.
Nvidia and other chip stocks are set to end the week in the red after a volatile few days.
Hedge fund Elliott Management sent a note to clients saying Nvidia was in "bubble land," while the technology behind artificial intelligence is "overhyped with many applications not ready for prime time," according to a report from the Financial Times published on Friday.
Here are some of the stocks leading Yahoo Finance’s trending tickers page during afternoon trading on Friday:
Amazon (AMZN): Shares of the retail and cloud company fell 9% following a weaker-than-expected second quarter report that missed forecasts for both the top and bottom lines. For the current quarter, Amazon guided sales to a range of $154 billion-$158.5 billion compared to analyst forecasts for $158.43 billion, according to Bloomberg data.
Intel (INTC): The chip giant plummeted more than 25% Friday afternoon after the company reported its second quarter earnings after the bell on Thursday, missing on the top and bottom lines and announcing a $10 billion cost reduction plan to cut 15% of its workforce and suspend dividend payments.
Snap (SNAP): Shares of the social media company tumbled 26% following a quarterly report that failed to reverse a narrative of decline. Snap also forecast third quarter results below market estimates.
Nvidia (NVDA): The AI chip designer shed more than 3% Friday amid a broad decline in chip stocks that led the tech sector lower. Markets tumbled following a weaker-than-expected jobs report. Nvidia is among the Magnificent Seven stocks losing ground. The company is the only Magnificent Seven stock that hasn't yet reported its latest quarterly results, and an emerging theme this earnings season is that Wall Street's patience with massive AI investments appears to be wearing a little thin.
Hamza Shaban
Stocks slide in afternoon trading
US stocks were poised to end the first week of August in the red after the July jobs report showed more cooling in the labor market, fueling concerns the Federal Reserve's "higher for longer" interest rate stance might end in recession.
The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) dropped 2.1% after the jobs report's release. That plunged the tech-heavy index into correction territory, more than 10% below its recent high in early July. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) slumped nearly 1.8%, or 700 points. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) sank 1.8%.
Hamza Shaban
A Magnificent 7 meltdown
Apple was the only Big Tech company that gained. Much of the tech world was in the red on Friday.
Apple (AAPL) stood alone on Friday, a speck of green in a sea of red, as shares of every other Magnificent Seven company were sliding along with most of the market.
The iPhone maker rose 2% Friday compared to heavy losses from everyone else. After the bell on Thursday Apple beating analysts' expectations on the top and bottom lines despite a year-over-year decline in iPhone sales.
Meanwhile, Amazon led the losses, losing 11% after the company shared a current quarter forecast on Thursday that fell short of expectations on both the top and bottom lines.
The harsh reaction was magnified on Friday after the July jobs report showed the US economy added fewer jobs than expected while the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to its highest level in nearly three years.
The sell-off was pronounced in the tech world. Microsoft (MSFT) lost 2.6%; Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) shed 2.5%; Nvidia (NVDA) gave up 1.3%; Meta (META) slipped 1.5%; and Tesla (TSLA) fell 2.9%.
Ines Ferré
Oil tanks 3% as broader market slides amid deteriorating economic data
Crude oil tanked along with the rest of the market on Friday after a weaker-than-expected jobs report pointed to more signs of cracks in the US economy.
West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) dropped more than 3% to hover just above $73 per barrel while Brent (BZ=F) also tanked over 3% to trade above $76 per barrel.
Economic weakness out of China also weighed on crude prices.
Asian crude imports have been "sinking to the lowest levels in over two years, confirming the slowing Chinese economy is another demand concern for crude," Dennis Kissler, senior vice president at BOK Financial, said in a note this week.
Hamza Shaban
Wall Street will support heavy AI spending as long as everything else is going great
This season's Big Tech earnings revealed an evolution in the AI trade.
Wall Street doesn't mind heavy AI spending. But as soon as tech companies show some weakness in their core business, that's when the trouble starts.
Meta (META) showed that investors won't automatically shy away from massive investments with an uncertain future. But the company's peers showed the flip side of that dynamic. Reactions to earnings from Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), Microsoft (MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN) showed AI investments can become a liability when key business lines fail to meet expectations.
Thursday's report from Amazon, which disclosed a weaker sales outlook, wrapped a wave of Big Tech results that flashed warnings that investors have limited patience for massive AI spending. Its cloud rival and AI competitor Microsoft (MSFT) beat expectations on the top and bottom lines but missed on cloud revenue, sending shares lower. Prior to that disappointment, Google parent Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) posted lower-than-expected YouTube ad revenue, which also sent investors running.
But Meta (META), on the other hand, earned the applause of Wall Street, delivering better-than-expected results for revenue and profit, even as executives warned they anticipate "significant" capital expenditures in 2025.
The new baseline for 2024 — 100 basis points
Five months ago, Wall Street economists were aggressively revising expectations for rate cuts in 2024, as some believed a series of strong inflation readings in the winter would lead the Fed to hold rates steady throughout the year.
Now, that calculus has changed dramatically.
Softer inflation in the spring brought the prospect of a rate cut in September or December into focus, and the last month of data has made clear that rate cuts are coming this fall.
Now, the conversation is about the magnitude of September's rate cut — 25 or 50 basis points? — and what the rest of the year has in store rather than "will they or won't they."
They will.
And one of the leading voices on the Street when it comes to what the Fed ought to do next is Neil Dutta, an economist at Renaissance Macro, who wrote in an email on Friday that a new "reasonable baseline" for Fed cuts this year is 100-125 basis points.
Indeed, data from the CME Group on Friday showed investors pricing in a 60% chance of a 50-basis-point cut next month, which already gets you halfway there.
Take the rate cut conversation alongside Friday's stock market action, which saw the Nasdaq enter a correction and investors take a squarely risk-off pose, and it seems the environment has become quite charged in just a few weeks.
But while the Fed perhaps missed a window on Wednesday to be aggressive in cutting rates, this need not constitute a gross policy failure.
"The Fed stepped on a nail," Dutta wrote. "Thankfully, they have not stepped on a bed of nails."
"What we are dealing with now is the result of monetary policy being too tight. This means the solution is quite simple. Move policy to a less restrictive stance. If that does not work, keep doing more until the ship course corrects."
When the stock market is making a big whooshing sound and the Sahm Rule is being triggered, things can feel quite perilous. But an economic slowdown is what the Fed had hoped to engineer all along. Now, it has arrived.
Hamza Shaban
Stocks lose steam after July jobs report
US stocks lost ground on Friday as investors pulled back after the release of the July jobs report showed more cooling in the labor market, fueling concerns the Federal Reserve's "higher for longer" interest rate stance might end in recession.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) slumped around 1%, or around 300 points, as a flight from stocks accelerated. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) sank 1.5%, while the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) dropped as much as 2.3% after the jobs report's release.
Myles Udland
Bad news is bad news
Yesterday, we noted the stock market's sell-off following poor earnings from Arm Holdings (ARM) and two poor economic data reports — initial claims and ISM manufacturing data — was a signal to investors that we were in a "bad news is bad news" environment.
That reminder is only more relevant this morning.
After a poor jobs report, stock futures were down across the board with tech leading the way lower.
A disastrous report from Intel (INTC) last night and weak profit guidance from Amazon (AMZN) didn't help matters. Nor did reports that Nvidia (NVDA) is facing a probe from the DOJ on antitrust complaints from its rivals.
But news flow, both good and bad, exists in all market environments.
And so what is most notable is less the confluence of events than how investors receive them.
And after an 18-month market environment when investors were eager to give companies, the economy, and any other bend in the road the benefit of the doubt, it appears there's been a big shift in this meta as we enter August 2024.
Myles Udland
The US labor market slowdown continues
The US economy added just 114,000 new jobs last month and the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.3%, the highest since October 2021 as the July jobs report served as the latest sign of a summer slowdown in the US labor market.
Notably, the BLS said in its release that there were no discernible impacts from Hurricane Beryl, which slammed the greater Houston area in early July, in its report, saying, "the response rates for the two surveys were within normal ranges."
Friday morning's report also showed wage growth slowing to 0.2% month on month and 3.6% year over year, while the underemployment rate — which includes those out of work as well as those working part-time but who would prefer full-time work — rose to 7.8%.
Brian Sozzi
What Intel's CEO told me with the stock crashing
I had a tough chat last night with Intel (INTC) CEO Pat Gelsinger following the company's whopper of an earnings miss, shockingly bad guidance, a dividend suspension and a 15% headcount reduction.
I appreciate he always steps up to the mic on Yahoo Finance (I have covered his entire Intel career) whether the quarter is good or bad, and this one was really not good at all. But wow with this one.
"This is the biggest restructuring of Intel I'd say since the memory microprocessor decision four decades ago," Gelsinger told me.
Gelsinger says he is in it for the long haul despite being disappointed in the quarter and outlook.
"This is what I signed up for [when I came in as CEO]," Gelsinger added.
As no surprise, the Street's reaction this morning is pretty brutal.
I left my chat with Gelsinger thinking Intel may not show green shoots of any kind (sales, margins, cash flow) deep into 2025. It's going to take some time to repair investor trust and drive a Street upgrade cycle on a stock that is now severely beaten down.
