Southwest Airlines Co (LUV) Q3 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript
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Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE: LUV)
Q3 2018 Earnings Conference Call
Oct. 25, 2018, 12:30 p.m. ET

Contents:

  • Prepared Remarks

  • Questions and Answers

  • Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Southwest Airlines Third Quarter 2018 Conference Call. My name is Abby and I will be moderating today's call. This call is being recorded and a replay will be available on Southwest.com in the IR section.

At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Mr. Ryan Martinez, Managing Director of IR. Please go ahead, sir.

Ryan Martinez -- Managing Director of IR

Thank you, Abby, and welcome everyone to our third quarter earnings call. Joining me today, we have Gary Kelly, our Chairman of the Board and CEO; Tom Nealon, our President; Mike Van de Ven, COO; and Tammy Romo, EVP and CFO.

(Forward-Looking Cautionary Statements)

And now, I'll turn the call over to Gary.

Gary Kelly -- Chairman of the Board & CEO

Thank you, Ryan, and good morning everybody, and thank you for joining our third quarter earnings call. First of all, I want to thank all of our employees for an excellent third quarter performance. It was a very nice recovery from the second quarter, which was down 3% on a RASM basis, due to Flight 1380 and then that was a nice turnaround to the third quarter RASM performance of 1 -- up 1.2%. Mexico was weak for us in terms of revenue, but our domestic performance, excluding all the international, the domestic performance was a solid RASM of plus 2.3% year-over-year and it's 2.9% if you adjust for stage and gauge increases. Overall, we had a sequential quarter-over-quarter improvement of 2 percentage points ahead of normal trends. So again, it was very nice recovery.

Our year-over-year comps always have noise in them, but I'm expecting another sequential trend improvement in fourth quarter, and then a year-over-year improvement as we said in the press release of 1% to 2%. So again that would be another nice -- better than trend as sequential improvement if we do that. Our unit cost ex times will come in roughly flat to up 1% for the year end -- for the fourth quarter for that matter, but another excellent cost performance.

We wanted to provide you an early look ahead to 2019. Our confidence level of forecasting revenues is never 100%, of course, and especially looking a year out, but our goal for next year right now is positive RASM and of at least 3%. And while it is a goal, trends and initiatives that we already have under way will support that goal. Our confidence level in predicting cost is much higher of course than revenues, and based on the planning that's currently under way, the preliminary read is that unit costs ex items will also be up at least 3%. I'm not satisfied with that, as I'm sure our investors are either and Tammy will describe the cost pressures further, but I did want to provide some perspective first.