The new Social Security raise will be revealed this week. Will it be enough?
The new Social Security raise will be revealed this week. Will it be enough?
The new Social Security raise will be revealed this week. Will it be enough?

As companies struggle with COVID-related shortages of supplies and workers, inflation is soaring at rates not seen in years. Steeper prices for gasoline, food, cars and many other things are squeezing Americans, especially older people living on fixed, often modest incomes.

But the inflation spike is likely to provide seniors with their biggest Social Security raise in almost four decades. The government this week is expected to announce Social Security's 2022 cost of living adjustment, or COLA, which will affect 55 million retirees, their dependents and survivors.

Seniors are now scrambling to find ways to save money, as inflation takes its toll. Will the supersize Social Security increase advocates are predicting even be enough?

2022 COLA could be the biggest since 1983

Elderly woman weighing goods on digital weight in supermarket, shopping for fruits and vegetables in produce department of a grocery store/supermarket (color toned image)
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Based on how inflation ran during 2020, Social Security's cost of living adjustment for this year, which began affecting payments in January, was 1.3%. It raised benefit checks by an average $20, according to the nonpartisan advocacy group The Senior Citizens League.

That increase has been gobbled up by price hikes in 2021.

The COLA for 2022 could be far greater — as high as 6.1%, the league says. The size is determined by the government's inflation numbers from the third quarter, meaning July, August and September. The September data is due for release on Wednesday, and that will allow Social Security to make its big announcement.

If the advocates are right, Social Security checks next year will see their biggest increase since 1983, when the COLA was 7.4%.

But a 6.1% increase in this year's average monthly benefit of $1,555 would give a retiree about $1,650 per month. That's $95 more — hardly a windfall. And Mary Johnson, a policy analyst with The Senior Citizens League, says some Social Security recipients could see cuts in other benefits because of their larger checks.

“Higher income could lead to trims in food stamps, rental assistance or Medicare Extra Help, which covers most prescription drug costs," Johnson tells MoneyWise.

Group says seniors need a stimulus check too

Extreme close-up of Federal coronavirus stimulus check provided to all Americans from the United States Treasury in 2020 and 2021, showing the statue of liberty.
William Sawalich / Shutterstock

The Senior Citizens League says older Americans can't want for the larger Social Security COLA to take effect in January. The group is calling on Congress to provide seniors with an immediate income boost — in the form of emergency $1,400 stimulus checks for people on Social Security.

A petition drive launched in early September has already gathered more than 38,000 signatures in favor of a direct payment to help the elderly cope with painful increases in prices.