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SLM's Loan Growth And Expense Control In Focus, Analysts Adjust Price Forecasts
SLM's Loan Growth And Expense Control In Focus, Analysts Adjust Price Forecasts
SLM's Loan Growth And Expense Control In Focus, Analysts Adjust Price Forecasts

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Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on SLM Corp (NASDAQ:SLM) after the company released its fourth-quarter print Thursday amid an exciting earnings season.

SLM’s fourth-quarter EPS of $0.50 missed the analyst estimate. The net interest income of $362.00 million missed the analyst estimate of $373.96 million.

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SLM expects fiscal 2025 EPS of $3.00-$3.10 versus $3.35 analyst estimate. It expects non-interest expenses of $655 million-$675 million.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Sanjay Sakhrani maintained SLM with a Market Perform with a price target of $30.

RBC Capital analyst Jon G. Arfstrom reiterated an Outperform on SLM and raised the price target to $32 from $30.

JP Morgan analyst Richard Shane maintained SLM with a Neutral and raised the price target from $29 to $30.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods: SLM reported core EPS of $0.50, which compares to Sakhrani’s estimate of $0.58. The miss to the analyst’s EPS estimate was driven by higher provision (-$0.15/share) and lower net interest income (-$0.01/share), partially offset by lower expenses (+$0.02/share) and a lower tax rate (+$0.06/share).

SLM reported a miss relative to Sakhrani’s expectations on higher provisions, while Pre-provision Net Revenue (PPNR) aligned with expectations. Core trends were mixed, with originations and the Delinquency (DQ) rate being better, PPNR and the net charge-off (NCO) rate being in line, and the Net interest margin rate being weaker. The company provided a 2025 outlook with EPS and loan origination growth better than Sakhrani’s expectations, while the NCO rate and expenses are in line.

RBC Capital: Core results were acceptable in a seasonally softer origination quarter. Highlights included substantial loan growth, some modest margin reduction, and a meaningful decrease in expense levels. Credit trends were more mixed with higher NCOs sequentially, though management remains hopeful that losses should continue to normalize lower in 2025 towards its longer-term loss range.

The 2025 outlook calls for solid origination growth and manageable expense levels. Further, the company plans to sell $2 billion in loans in the first quarter of 2025, which should support the updated EPS guide. Arfstrom’s thesis remains consistent, as he noted continued progress in the gradual shift toward a more balanced growth model. However, additional loan sales and buyback activity will likely continue over the near-to-medium term.