Shopify: Buy the Dip?

Shopify (NYSE: SHOP) was crushed by allegations it was little more than a get-rich-quick scheme. Shares that had nearly tripled over the past year have tumbled 20% since the critique broke in early October. That naturally leads an investor to wonder whether the e-commerce storefront will overcome these charges and make its stock a buy, or they'll prove true and buying now will be like catching a falling knife.

What we know

Famed short-seller Andrew Left at Citron Research issued a scathing rebuke of Shopify, alleging the platform routinely violates FTC marketing guidelines and was "dirtier" than Herbalife (NYSE: HLF), the multi-level marketing company that was required to pay a $200 million settlement with the regulatory agency.

Websites spring out of computer monitor
Websites spring out of computer monitor

There are several aspects to Left's accusations. On the one hand, he contends Shopify is violating FTC regulations by promising people if they use its product they could become millionaires. He also says people promoting the service aren't disclosing they're being compensated for their endorsement by the outfit. Although other, larger marketers may also do something similar, it's still an illegal activity, similar to Herbalife, which was slammed by the FTC for advocating "members can 'quit their job' or otherwise enjoy a lavish lifestyle" by using its products. Left says Shopify even has a form letter on its website that platform users can use to send to their bosses when they quit their jobs.

I'm not familiar enough with FTC rules to say whether encouraging entrepreneurs to use your service to become a millionaire is a violation or not, but if it is truly illegal, then it's incumbent on Shopify to change its marketing to comply with the law.

Yet otherwise comparing it to Herbalife seems to fall short, since people aren't directly selling Shopify products like they do with the supplement distributor; users are using its platform to sell their own goods and services (Left does note bloggers and other sites can make money referring people to Shopify, and notes that is akin to affiliate marketing rather than an MLM scheme).

Still a good value?

There appear other, more problematic accusations that Shopify will need to address. The Citron report seemingly has a lot more teeth when it accuses the company of being highly overvalued. At 20 times sales, it is valued about twice as much as other leading SaaS companies like Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM) and Workday (NASDAQ: WDAY), and Left contends Shopify's far richer than it has any right to be considering there is little known about the vast majority of its purported 500,000 customers.