How Shaw Brothers Holdings Limited (HKG:953) Can Impact Your Portfolio Volatility

If you are a shareholder in Shaw Brothers Holdings Limited’s (SEHK:953), or are thinking about investing in the company, knowing how it contributes to the risk and reward profile of your portfolio is important. 953 is exposed to market-wide risk, which arises from investing in the stock market. This risk reflects changes in economic and political factors that affects all stocks, and is measured by its beta. Different characteristics of a stock expose it to various levels of market risk, and the market as a whole represents a beta value of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is considered more sensitive to market-wide shocks compared to a stock that trades below the value of one.

See our latest analysis for Shaw Brothers Holdings

An interpretation of 953’s beta

Shaw Brothers Holdings’s beta of 0.72 indicates that the stock value will be less variable compared to the whole stock market. The stock will exhibit muted movements in both the downside and upside, in response to changing economic conditions, whereas the general market may move by a lot more. 953’s beta implies it may be a stock that investors with high-beta portfolios might find relevant if they wanted to reduce their exposure to market risk, especially during times of downturns.

Could 953’s size and industry cause it to be more volatile?

953, with its market capitalisation of HK$780.79M, is a small-cap stock, which generally have higher beta than similar companies of larger size. Furthermore, the company operates in the luxury industry, which has been found to have high sensitivity to market-wide shocks. Therefore, investors may expect high beta associated with small companies, as well as those operating in the luxury industry, relative to those more well-established firms in a more defensive industry. It seems as though there is an inconsistency in risks portrayed by 953’s size and industry relative to its actual beta value. There may be a more fundamental driver which can explain this inconsistency, which we will examine below.

SEHK:953 Income Statement Mar 17th 18
SEHK:953 Income Statement Mar 17th 18

Is 953’s cost structure indicative of a high beta?

During times of economic downturn, low demand may cause companies to readjust production of their goods and services. It is more difficult for companies to lower their cost, if the majority of these costs are generated by fixed assets. Therefore, this is a type of risk which is associated with higher beta. I test 953’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets in order to determine how high the risk is associated with this type of constraint. Considering fixed assets account for less than a third of the company’s overall assets, 953 seems to have a smaller dependency on fixed costs to generate revenue. Thus, we can expect 953 to be more stable in the face of market movements, relative to its peers of similar size but with a higher portion of fixed assets on their books. Similarly, 953’s beta value conveys the same message.