Global shares rise with dollar, US bond yields turn higher
Traders work on the floor of the NYSE in New York · Reuters

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By Sinéad Carew and Samuel Indyk

NEW YORK LONDON (Reuters) -MSCI's global equities index rose on Friday while U.S. Treasury yields turned higher with the dollar as upbeat economic data and earnings appeared to help investors shrug off any jitters ahead of the U.S. presidential inauguration.

The U.S. dollar strengthened against major peers after four days of declines, while benchmark U.S. Treasury yields - after a three-session drop - hit a two-week low before reversing course.

Federal Reserve data on Friday showed U.S. manufacturing output increased 0.6% last month after an upwardly revised 0.4% rebound in November, likely as production picked up after a factory worker strike ended.

Elsewhere, data showed U.S. single-family homebuilding increasing to a 10-month high in December, indicating that construction activity regained some momentum at the end of the year, though rising mortgage rates and a glut of new homes on the market could constrain recovery.

All three of Wall Street's major indexes were up for the day while the S&P 500 and the Dow registered their biggest weekly gains since the week of the U.S. presidential election. The Nasdaq scored its biggest weekly advance since early December.

"There's an expectation that the economy is not as weak and inflation is not as big a problem as investors may have thought," said Phil Orlando, chief equity strategist at Federated Hermes, pointing to the production and housing data as well as inflation data released earlier this week.

"Given the over-sold nature of the market, we've enjoyed a nice bounce here," he said.

On Wednesday, softer than forecast core inflation data had pushed down the U.S. 10-year yield and supported stocks. Adding more encouragement to stocks this week were comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Thursday signaling that three or four rate cuts are still possible in 2025 if data is weaker.

But Orlando was cautious about how well Friday's levels would hold after Monday's handover of the White House from Democratic President Joe Biden to Republican President-elect Donald Trump.

"You're going to be swapping very different fiscal policy approaches. I'm wondering if the market doesn't get spooked yet again, once Trump comes into office," said Orlando.

"We don't know what his talk is going to look like on Monday. We don't know what sort of day-one executive orders he's going to put through."

Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise, said that along with economic data, strong bank earnings reports and outlooks had improved investor confidence since Monday.