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The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. Unfortunately the Summit State Bank (NASDAQ:SSBI) share price slid 38% over twelve months. That's disappointing when you consider the market returned 25%. Longer term shareholders haven't suffered as badly, since the stock is down a comparatively less painful 26% in three years. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 12% in the last 90 days.
It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.
See our latest analysis for Summit State Bank
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Unfortunately Summit State Bank reported an EPS drop of 16% for the last year. The share price decline of 38% is actually more than the EPS drop. This suggests the EPS fall has made some shareholders more nervous about the business. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 4.72.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free interactive report on Summit State Bank's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Summit State Bank's TSR for the last 1 year was -36%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
Summit State Bank shareholders are down 36% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 25%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 1.2% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Summit State Bank , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.