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It's not possible to invest over long periods without making some bad investments. But really bad investments should be rare. So consider, for a moment, the misfortune of Seven West Media Limited (ASX:SWM) investors who have held the stock for three years as it declined a whopping 75%. That'd be enough to cause even the strongest minds some disquiet. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 23% in the last year. The last week also saw the share price slip down another 6.1%. However, this move may have been influenced by the broader market, which fell 3.4% in that time.
It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.
See our latest analysis for Seven West Media
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the three years that the share price fell, Seven West Media's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 70% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 37% compound annual share price fall. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
Dive deeper into Seven West Media's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Seven West Media's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 5.7% in the last year, Seven West Media shareholders lost 23%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Seven West Media (1 is significant) that you should be aware of.