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If you are building a properly diversified stock portfolio, the chances are some of your picks will perform badly. But long term Dyadic International, Inc. (NASDAQ:DYAI) shareholders have had a particularly rough ride in the last three year. Unfortunately, they have held through a 68% decline in the share price in that time. On the other hand, we note it's up 9.6% in about a month. However, this may be a matter of broader market optimism, since stocks are up 7.2% in the same time.
Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.
View our latest analysis for Dyadic International
We don't think Dyadic International's revenue of US$2,955,997 is enough to establish significant demand. You have to wonder why venture capitalists aren't funding it. So it seems shareholders are too busy dreaming about the progress to come than dwelling on the current (lack of) revenue. For example, they may be hoping that Dyadic International comes up with a great new product, before it runs out of money.
As a general rule, if a company doesn't have much revenue, and it loses money, then it is a high risk investment. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets to raise equity. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies do very well over the long term, others become hyped up by promoters before eventually falling back down to earth, and going bankrupt (or being recapitalized). Some Dyadic International investors have already had a taste of the bitterness stocks like this can leave in the mouth.
Dyadic International had cash in excess of all liabilities of just US$6.6m when it last reported (September 2023). So if it hasn't remedied the situation already, it will almost certainly have to raise more capital soon. That probably explains why the share price is down 19% per year, over 3 years. The image below shows how Dyadic International's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.
It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn't even have revenue. There's no way to know its value easily. What if insiders are ditching the stock hand over fist? I'd like that just about as much as I like to drink milk and fruit juice mixed together. You can click here to see if there are insiders selling.