Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (HKG:568): Has Recent Earnings Growth Beaten Long-Term Trend?

Examining how Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SEHK:568) is performing as a company requires looking at more than just a years’ earnings. Below, I will run you through a simple sense check to build perspective on how Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery is doing by comparing its most recent earnings with its historical trend, in addition to the performance of its energy services industry peers. See our latest analysis for Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery

Could 568 beat the long-term trend and outperform its industry?

For the purpose of this commentary, I like to use the ‘latest twelve-month’ data, which annualizes the most recent half-year data, or in some cases, the latest annual report is already the most recent financial year data. This technique allows me to assess various companies on a more comparable basis, using the most relevant data points. For Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery, its most recent earnings (trailing twelve month) is -CN¥383.3M, which compared to last year’s figure, has become less negative. Since these figures are fairly short-term thinking, I have computed an annualized five-year value for 568’s net income, which stands at -CN¥91.3M. This shows that, Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery has historically performed better than recently, although it seems like earnings are now heading back in the right direction again.

SEHK:568 Income Statement Jan 15th 18
SEHK:568 Income Statement Jan 15th 18

Additionally, we can examine Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery’s loss by researching what has been happening in the industry as well as within the company. Initially, I want to briefly look into the line items. Revenue growth over the last couple of years has been negative at -9.29%. The key to profitability here is to make sure the company’s cost growth is well-managed. Looking at growth from a sector-level, the HK energy services industry has been growing, albeit, at a unexciting single-digit rate of 3.17% in the previous twelve months, . This is a turnaround from a volatile drop of -13.52% in the past couple of years. This means that while Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery is currently loss-making, any near-term headwind the industry is enduring, the impact on Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery has been softer relative to its peers.

What does this mean?

Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery’s track record can be a valuable insight into its earnings performance, but it certainly doesn’t tell the whole story. With companies that are currently loss-making, it is always difficult to envisage what will happen in the future and when. The most valuable step is to examine company-specific issues Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery may be facing and whether management guidance has consistently been met in the past. You should continue to research Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery to get a better picture of the stock by looking at: