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The heightened oil market and macroeconomic uncertainties in recent weeks are baffling not only analysts. Halliburton, the oilfield services giant with the highest exposure to the U.S. fracking market, has just warned investors that its U.S. customers are re-evaluating drilling activity plans for 2025.
“Looking forward, many of our customers are in the midst of evaluating their activity scenarios and plans for 2025,” Halliburton’s chairman, president, and CEO, Jeff Miller, said on the first-quarter earnings call this week.
Halliburton reported Q1 revenues, beating analyst expectations. Earnings, excluding a pre-tax charge of $356 million, were in line with estimates.
However, North America revenue in the first quarter of 2025 fell by 12% from a year earlier to $2.2 billion. Halliburton said the decline was primarily driven by lower stimulation activity in U.S. onshore operations and decreased completion tool sales in the Gulf of Mexico.
International revenue also fell, but only slightly, by 2% versus the first quarter of 2024.
Analysts were closely watching Halliburton’s Q1 figures – which kicked off the earnings reporting season of the big oilfield services providers – for clues about where North America drilling is heading amid uncertainties about the economy and the willingness of oil producers to keep drilling activity levels as U.S. benchmark oil prices fell into the low $60s per barrel.
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The macroeconomic uncertainty, the cost of equipment with the Trump Administration’s tariffs, and the oil prices barely at breakeven levels at some fields and wells have prompted analysts to lower their estimates of U.S. oil production growth this year and next.
“Activity reductions could mean higher than normal white space for committed fleets, and, in some cases, the retirement or export of fleets to international markets,” Halliburton’s Miller said on the earnings call.
“The last three weeks have been highly dynamic as the trade environment injected uncertainty into markets, raised broad economic concerns, and along with faster than expected return of OPEC production weighed on commodity prices,” the executive added.
Apart from heightened macro and oil price uncertainties, Halliburton flagged it would be hit by the U.S. tariff policies—in the region of $0.02 to $0.03 per share impact on the earnings per share for the second quarter of the year.
“We are doing a lot of work on mitigating the impact of tariffs. We have a well diversified supply chain,” Eric Carre, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Halliburton, said on the earnings call.