Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS (SNDVF) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Growth ...

In This Article:

  • Reported Net Sales Growth: Increased by 7.1% in Q3 2024.

  • Organic Net Sales Growth: Slightly negative at 0.1% in Q3 2024.

  • EBITDA Margin: Decreased to 23.4% in Q3 2024; 22.0% for the first nine months.

  • Free Cash Flow Before Acquisitions: DKK 275 million in Q3 2024; DKK 327 million for the nine-month period.

  • Machine-Rolled Cigars Organic Net Sales Growth: 3% in Q3 2024.

  • Handmade Cigars Organic Net Sales Decline: 1% in Q3 2024.

  • Next Generation Products Organic Net Sales Growth: 2% in Q3 2024.

  • Same-Store Sales Growth: 11% increase in Q3 2024.

  • New Store Openings: One new store in Tennessee; total of 12 superstores by end of 2024.

  • Net Profit: DKK 297 million in Q3 2024.

  • Adjusted Earnings Per Share: Unchanged at DKK 4.1 in Q3 2024.

  • Leverage Ratio: Increased to 2.9 times by Q3 2024.

  • Corporate Bond Issuance: EUR 300 million with a 4.875% coupon rate.

  • Share Buyback Program: Close to 8% of own shares held; DKK 850 million program nearing completion.

Release Date: November 13, 2024

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS (SNDVF) reported a 7.1% increase in net sales, with the acquisition of Mac Baren contributing positively.

  • The integration of Mac Baren is expected to deliver significant synergies, estimated at DKK 150 million by 2027.

  • Investments in machine-rolled cigars have led to improved market share, particularly in France.

  • The nicotine brand XQS continues to grow at high double-digit rates, expanding market share in Sweden and launching in the UK and Denmark.

  • The company issued a new EUR 300 million corporate bond, securing long-term financing.

Negative Points

  • The EBITDA margin decreased to 23.4% in Q3, impacted by investments and the inclusion of Mac Baren.

  • Organic net sales growth was slightly negative at -0.1%, affected by the discontinuation of third-party nicotine pouch distribution in the US.

  • The US market for handmade cigars continues to contract, with no signs of stabilization.

  • Free cash flow before acquisitions decreased significantly compared to the previous year, impacted by operational performance and working capital changes.

  • The leverage ratio increased to 2.9 times, influenced by the acquisition of Mac Baren and higher interest rates on new corporate bonds.

Q & A Highlights

Q: What are the reasons behind the continued weak trend in US handmade cigars, and how does this compare to pre-COVID levels? A: Regis Broersma, President and Senior Vice President, explained that different parts of the value chain are performing differently. Retail stores are doing well, with same-store sales up 11%, attributed to the experiential aspect of visiting stores. However, the business-to-business side has seen volume losses. Compared to pre-COVID levels, volumes are slightly below, partly due to a shift towards premiumization over the last five years. There is also a downtrading effect currently. Market share data is limited, but increased promotional spending has slightly improved online market share.