Can RTL Group S.A.'s (ETR:RRTL) Weak Financials Pull The Plug On The Stock's Current Momentum On Its Share Price?

Unlock stock picks and a broker-level newsfeed that powers Wall Street.

editorial-team@simplywallst.com (Simply Wall St)

Sat, Mar 22, 2025, 12:02 AM 4 min read

RTL Group's (ETR:RRTL) stock is up by a considerable 34% over the past three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to RTL Group's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for RTL Group is:

8.2% = €428m ÷ €5.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every €1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated €0.08 in profit.

See our latest analysis for RTL Group

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

RTL Group's Earnings Growth And 8.2% ROE

On the face of it, RTL Group's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 5.9%, is definitely interesting. But seeing RTL Group's five year net income decline of 14% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

So, as a next step, we compared RTL Group's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 0.9% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth — XTRA:RRTL Past Earnings Growth March 22nd 2025

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is RRTL worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether RRTL is currently mispriced by the market.

Is RTL Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

RTL Group's very high three-year median payout ratio of 102% over the last three years suggests that the company is paying its shareholders more than what it is earning and this explains the company's shrinking earnings. Its usually very hard to sustain dividend payments that are higher than reported profits.

Additionally, RTL Group has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 73% over the next three years. As a result, the expected drop in RTL Group's payout ratio explains the anticipated rise in the company's future ROE to 11%, over the same period.

Summary

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on RTL Group. Its earnings growth particularly is not much to talk about even though it does have a pretty respectable ROE. The lack of growth can be blamed on its poor earnings retention. As discussed earlier, the company is retaining hardly any of its profits. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.