Rivian's Q4 Blowout Sales Fuel 24% Stock Surge: Time to Book Profits?

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Rivian Automotive RIVN charged up the stock market on Friday, delivering its biggest single-day percentage gain since going public. The stock surged an impressive 24.45% to close at $16.49 after the California-based electric vehicle (EV) maker posted stellar fourth-quarter delivery numbers. Rivian sold 14,183 vehicles in the December quarter, surpassing Wall Street’s estimate of 13,000 units and edging out its delivery figure of 13,972 units in the fourth quarter of 2023.

For the full year, Rivian produced 49,476 vehicles, exceeding its guidance of 47,000–49,000 units. Deliveries also hit 51,579 units, aligning with the company’s forecast of 50,500–52,000 units and surpassing the 50,122 units delivered in 2023. After a challenging 2023, marked by over 40% stock decline, Rivian’s strong start to 2025 has prompted investors to ponder if they should lock in gains now or stay invested.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research

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Key Growth Drivers for RIVN

Overcoming Supply Chain Woes: The EV maker struggled with production and supply chain disruptions last year, which took a toll on its revenues and profitability. However, Rivian has successfully resolved its component shortage issues, paving the way for smooth and consistent production of its R1 and RCV platforms.

Collaboration with VWAGY: A key catalyst for Rivian comes from its strategic partnership with German auto giant Volkswagen VWAGY. VWAGY has pledged up to $5.8 billion in investment in Rivian. This collaboration aims to enhance Rivian’s technological capabilities and accelerate production timelines.

Expanding Product Portfolio to Broaden Market Reach: Rivian’s product portfolio is set to expand significantly with the introduction of the R2, R3 and R3X models. Scheduled for a 2026 release, R2—a midsize SUV priced at $45,000—offers a more affordable option compared to Rivian’s premium R1 lineup. By targeting budget-conscious buyers, R2 is expected to attract a broader customer base and increase Rivian’s market share. If executed effectively, these models could be pivotal in positioning Rivian as a mainstream EV player rather than a niche luxury brand.

Focus on Cost Efficiency: Rivian is also taking decisive steps to reduce costs. The company aims to achieve gross profitability by the fourth quarter of 2024, a milestone that could enhance investor confidence. Material costs for the R1 lineup are projected to decline by 20% in 2025, while costs for the R2 models could see a 45% reduction.

Georgia Manufacturing Facility: Rivian has secured a $6.6 billion loan from the U.S. Department of Energy to fund the construction of a new manufacturing facility in Georgia. While this development will eventually boost production capacity, the first phase of construction is not expected to be completed until 2028, making it a longer-term growth driver.