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Rise in China e-commerce traffic lifts Cargojet to record revenue

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A blue-tailed Cargojet freighter touches down on the runway amid the glow of the afternoon sun.
A Boeing 757-200 freighter operated by Cargojet arrives at the international airport in Bogota, Colombia, on Dec. 11, 2024. (Photo: Shutterstock/Rene Dominguez)

Canada’s Cargojet squeezed 16% more flight hours out of its existing fleet in the fourth quarter to accommodate a surge in demand for charter service from e-commerce sellers in China, resulting in a 32% year-over-year revenue gain to US$207 million.

Earnings were tempered by higher startup costs for charter flights, such as overtime pay for pilots, maintenance and ground handling, as adjusted pretax income came in 5% below analysts’ forecast.

Cargojet’s on-demand charter business increased 136%, while scheduled charter revenue from recurring flights grew 29.3%, according to financial results released Monday afternoon. Domestic revenue was essentially flat year over year, which the company partly attributed to the nearly monthlong Canada Post labor strike. Revenue inched up because of increased e-commerce and B2B volumes, along with the implementation of contractual inflation escalators.

Full-year revenue of $705 million, up 14% from the prior year, was the best in company history. The revenue increase is even more noteworthy considering that Cargojet (TSX: CJT) generated 20% less in fuel surcharges versus the prior year as the price of jet fuel declined.

Cargo airlines in 2023 were impacted by the global downturn in demand, which began to bounce back in the second half. The market fully recovered in 2024, with global volumes growing about 12%.

Cargojet operates a domestic overnight network covering 16 major Canadian cities, with space shared among a range of customers. Customers such as Amazon, DHL Express and Purolator pre-purchase a guaranteed space and weight allocation in the network and also pay a set daily fee. Remaining capacity is sold on an ad hoc basis to contract and noncontract customers. Several international airlines use Cargojet to move shipments between international gateways and other domestic locations.

Cargojet also provides dedicated customers with 15 aircraft and everything needed to fly them under long-term contracts. The transportation service agreements include flying five routes out of Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport to Mexico each day for DHL, as well as multiple routes between Canada, the U.S., Central and South America.

Management said it expects growth across its three main revenue streams to continue in 2025 but cautioned that slower revenue growth is possible because of the uncertainty surrounding potential trade wars between the United States and other countries as the Trump administration ramps up tariffs programs, which could dampen global air cargo demand. It said U.S. airlines are likely to be more exposed to tariff fallout than Cargojet.