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RH's Q4 Earnings & Revenues Lag Estimates, Up Y/Y, Stock Down 26%

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RH’s RH shares plummeted 26.1% in yesterday’s after-hours trading session after its fourth-quarter fiscal 2024 (ended Feb. 1, 2025) earnings releases. The luxury home furnishings retailer missed expectations for both earnings and revenues, given the softening demand in the high-end home furnishings sector, led by macroeconomic factors.

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Nonetheless, RH’s earnings and revenues increased on a year-over-year basis. RH’s strategic investments over the past two years have driven significant market share growth and positioned the brand as a leader in the luxury home market.

RH acknowledges the challenges, including risks related to tariffs, market volatility, and inflation. However, the company remains focused on long-term strategy rather than short-term fluctuations. Despite operating in the weakest housing market in nearly 50 years—where only 4.06 million existing homes were sold in 2024, similar to 1978 levels despite a much larger population—RH has continued to perform strongly. This resilience is attributed to its focused investment strategy, described as “An inch wide and a mile deep.”

RH Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

RH Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
RH Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

RH price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | RH Quote

RH’s Q4 Earnings, Margin & Revenue Discussion

The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.58, which missed the consensus mark of $1.91 by 17.3%. The reported figure, however, increased significantly by 119.4% from 72 cents per share in the year-ago period.

Net revenues of $812.4 million also lagged the consensus mark of $827 million but improved 10% year over year. In the fiscal fourth quarter, total demand for RH's products increased 17% and RH Brand demand grew 21% year over year. Although demand softened in mid-December due to rising mortgage rates, RH Brand demand stabilized at 19% higher in January.

Notably, in the fiscal fourth quarter, revenues increased 18%, and adjusted operating income surged 57% on a comparable 13-week basis—outpacing other home furnishing businesses. Despite operating in the worst housing market in 50 years, RH attributes this success to its transformative product expansion, which has been one of the most significant in the industry’s history.

Gross margin expanded 120 basis points (bps) to 44.7% in the reported quarter. Adjusted selling, general & administrative expenses decreased 110 bps to 33.3% of total revenues.

Adjusted operating margin expanded 220 bps year over year to 11.3%. Adjusted EBITDA increased 23.1% year over year to $138.8 million for the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA margin also expanded 180 bps year over year to 17.1%.