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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at SEEK (ASX:SEK) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on SEEK is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.058 = AU$263m ÷ (AU$5.0b - AU$463m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Therefore, SEEK has an ROCE of 5.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Interactive Media and Services industry average of 9.2%.
View our latest analysis for SEEK
Above you can see how the current ROCE for SEEK compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering SEEK for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of SEEK's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 5.8% from 9.5% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a related note, SEEK has decreased its current liabilities to 9.3% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
In Conclusion...
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by SEEK's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 35% to shareholders over the last five years. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.