In This Article:
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating NextEd Group (ASX:NXD), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for NextEd Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.014 = AU$1.1m ÷ (AU$134m - AU$51m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
So, NextEd Group has an ROCE of 1.4%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Consumer Services industry average of 7.9%.
View our latest analysis for NextEd Group
In the above chart we have measured NextEd Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for NextEd Group .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at NextEd Group doesn't inspire confidence. Around three years ago the returns on capital were 9.2%, but since then they've fallen to 1.4%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a side note, NextEd Group has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 38% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
In Conclusion...
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by NextEd Group's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 56% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think NextEd Group has the makings of a multi-bagger.