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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Leslie's (NASDAQ:LESL), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
We've discovered 3 warning signs about Leslie's. View them for free.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Leslie's:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.082 = US$63m ÷ (US$967m - US$194m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
So, Leslie's has an ROCE of 8.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Specialty Retail industry average of 13%.
View our latest analysis for Leslie's
In the above chart we have measured Leslie's' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Leslie's .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Leslie's, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 8.2% from 40% five years ago. However it looks like Leslie's might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a related note, Leslie's has decreased its current liabilities to 20% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
What We Can Learn From Leslie's' ROCE
In summary, Leslie's is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors may be expecting the fundamentals to get a lot worse because the stock has crashed 97% over the last three years. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.