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Shareholders in The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HAIN) had a terrible week, as shares crashed 48% to US$1.58 in the week since its latest third-quarter results. It was a pretty negative result overall, with revenues of US$390m missing analyst predictions by 4.7%. Worse, the business reported a statutory loss of US$1.49 per share, a substantial decline on analyst expectations of a profit. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
After the latest results, the consensus from Hain Celestial Group's eleven analysts is for revenues of US$1.56b in 2026, which would reflect a noticeable 3.1% decline in revenue compared to the last year of performance. Hain Celestial Group is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$0.068 per share. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$1.65b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.42 in 2026. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a pretty serious reduction to earnings per share numbers.
Check out our latest analysis for Hain Celestial Group
It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 34% to US$3.71. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Hain Celestial Group at US$8.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$1.50. So we wouldn't be assigning too much credibility to analyst price targets in this case, because there are clearly some widely different views on what kind of performance this business can generate. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. One thing that stands out from these estimates is that shrinking revenues are expected to moderate over the period ending 2026 compared to the historical decline of 4.7% per annum over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for companies in the broader industry, which suggest that revenues (in aggregate) are expected to grow 2.4% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while it does have declining revenues, the analysts also expect Hain Celestial Group to suffer worse than the wider industry.