RedZed Trust Series 2019-1 -- Moody's confirms the ratings for two classes of notes and upgrades one class of notes from two Australian RedZed non-conforming RMBS

Rating Action: Moody's confirms the ratings for two classes of notes and upgrades one class of notes from two Australian RedZed non-conforming RMBS

Global Credit Research - 03 Sep 2020

Sydney, September 03, 2020 -- Moody's Investors Service has taken rating actions on three classes of notes issued by RedZed Trust Series 2018-1 (RedZed 2018-1) and RedZed Trust Series 2019-1 (RedZed 2019-1).

"IMPORTANT NOTICE: MOODY'S RATINGS AND PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE BY RETAIL INVESTORS. SUCH USE WOULD BE RECKLESS AND INAPPROPRIATE. SEE FULL DISCLAIMERS BELOW."

The rating confirmations conclude the review for downgrade initiated on 5 June 2020 as a result of the deteriorating Australian economic environment due to the COVID-19 outbreak, which could impact the performance of the underlying residential mortgage loans.

The affected ratings are as follows:

Issuer: RedZed Trust Series 2018-1

....Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2019 Upgraded to A1 (sf)

....Class F Notes, Confirmed at B2 (sf); previously on Jun 5, 2020 B2 (sf) Placed Under Review for Possible Downgrade

Issuer: RedZed Trust Series 2019-1

....Class F Notes, Confirmed at B1 (sf); previously on Jun 5, 2020 B1 (sf) Placed Under Review for Possible Downgrade

RATINGS RATIONALE

The rating actions reflect the balance between (1) the increase in credit enhancement available for the affected notes, (2) the collateral performance to date, with a moderate level of loans in arrears or under COVID-19 hardship payment arrangements, and (3) the risk of a deterioration in loan credit quality stemming from the economic shock triggered by the COVID-19 outbreak.

For the rating confirmation of the Class F Notes issued by RedZed 2018-1, Moody's has also considered the correction of prior errors in the modeling of certain pro-rata principal amortisation sub-triggers. The correction of these errors did not have a rating impact on these notes.

During the review period, the portfolio performance has started to stabilise with a reduction in the number of loans subject to payment holidays since June 2020. While portfolio delinquency rates have also improved through the review period, the remaining portion of loans subject to COVID-19-related hardship assistance which are not reported as delinquent (between 9% and 10% for each pool) masks some potential performance deterioration. Over the same period, note subordination has increased.

For the two rating confirmations, Moody's has concluded that the net effect of risks posed to the notes is consistent with the current ratings of the notes.