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We feel now is a pretty good time to analyse Redwire Corporation's (NYSE:RDW) business as it appears the company may be on the cusp of a considerable accomplishment. Redwire Corporation provides critical space solutions and space infrastructure for government and commercial customers in the United States, Europe, and internationally. With the latest financial year loss of US$155m and a trailing-twelve-month loss of US$150m, the US$814m market-cap company alleviated its loss by moving closer towards its target of breakeven. As path to profitability is the topic on Redwire's investors mind, we've decided to gauge market sentiment. In this article, we will touch on the expectations for the company's growth and when analysts expect it to become profitable.
Redwire is bordering on breakeven, according to the 5 American Aerospace & Defense analysts. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2024, before turning a profit of US$9.6m in 2025. The company is therefore projected to breakeven around a year from now or less! At what rate will the company have to grow in order to realise the consensus estimates forecasting breakeven in under 12 months? Using a line of best fit, we calculated an average annual growth rate of 146%, which is rather optimistic! Should the business grow at a slower rate, it will become profitable at a later date than expected.
Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of Redwire's upcoming projects, however, bear in mind that by and large a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.
View our latest analysis for Redwire
One thing we would like to bring into light with Redwire is its debt-to-equity ratio of 158%. Generally, the rule of thumb is debt shouldn’t exceed 40% of your equity, which in this case, the company has significantly overshot. A higher level of debt requires more stringent capital management which increases the risk in investing in the loss-making company.
Next Steps:
This article is not intended to be a comprehensive analysis on Redwire, so if you are interested in understanding the company at a deeper level, take a look at Redwire's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of key aspects you should further research:
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Valuation: What is Redwire worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Redwire is currently mispriced by the market.
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Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Redwire’s board and the CEO’s background.
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Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.