Red Robin Q3 Earnings Miss, Revenues Beat Estimates, Stock Down

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Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. RRGB posted mixed third-quarter fiscal 2024 results, with earnings missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate and revenues beating the same. Both top and bottom lines declined year over year.  Following the results, the company’s shares declined 10.1% during yesterday’s after-hours trading session.

Red Robin’s third-quarter fiscal 2024 results declined despite some positive developments in restaurant performance and customer satisfaction. The company’s CEO G.J. Hart emphasized that its “North Star Plan” has been gaining traction, with Red Robin’s comparable restaurant revenues exceeding industry averages and customer traffic rebounding in the latter part of the quarter.

However, the macroeconomic environment added significant pressure to Red Robin’s recovery, hampering the overall impact of these operational gains. While the brand has made strides in rebuilding its customer base and revamping RRGB’s loyalty program, broader economic challenges limited the extent of its financial improvement.

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Delving Deeper Into RRGB’s Q3 Performance

In the fiscal third quarter, RRGB recorded an adjusted loss per share of $1.13, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 87 cents. The company reported an adjusted loss per share of 79 cents in the prior-year quarter.

Quarterly revenues of $274.6 million beat the consensus mark of $272 million. However, the top line declined 1.1% year over year.  In the quarter under review, comparable restaurant revenues increased 0.6% year over year.

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. Quote

RRGB’s Operating Results

The restaurant-level operating profit margin was 9% in the fiscal third quarter compared with 11.1% in the prior-year quarter. Our projection for the metric was 10.2%.

In the fiscal third quarter, restaurant labor costs increased 3.8% year over year to $107.7 million. The figure compares with our projection of $105.1 million.

Other operating costs was $49.7 million compared with $50.4 million reported in the prior-year quarter. Our prediction for the metric was $47.3 million.

Adjusted earnings before interest expenses, income taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) in the fiscal third quarter amounted to $2.1 million compared with $6.8 million in the prior-year quarter. Our estimate for the metric was $6.3 million.

Other Financial Information of RRGB

As of Oct. 6, 2024, RRGB had cash and cash equivalents of $22 million compared with $23.6 million as of Dec. 31, 2023. Long-term debt, as of Oct. 6, 2024, was $180.7 million compared with $182.6 million in the prior-year quarter. Inventories in the quarter were $27.5 million compared with $27.3 million in the previous quarter.