‘Recession will deepen in Q3': Peter Schiff called the 2008 crash and now says the current downturn will only get worse. Here's what he likes for safety
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By now, quite a few celebrities – including Elon Musk and Suze Orman – have predicted that a recession would hit the U.S. economy.
Peter Schiff, CEO and chief global strategist at Euro Pacific Capital, is the latest expert to sound the alarm.
“[T]he U.S. economy has been in recession all year,” he wrote in a tweet on Thursday.
“With yesterday's rate hike, more layoffs, and inflation continuing to erode purchasing power, the recession will deepen in Q3. In fact, Q2 GDP will likely be revised even lower.”
According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ advance estimate, U.S. GDP fell at an annual rate of 0.9% in Q2.
Schiff also knows a thing or two about preparing for a downturn. In fact, we can clearly see that theme in Euro Pacific Asset Management’s latest 13F filing with the Securities Exchange Commission.
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Gold
Schiff has long been a fan of the yellow metal.
“The problem with the dollar is it has no intrinsic value,” he once said. “Gold will store its value, and you'll always be able to buy more food with your gold."
As always, he’s putting his money where his mouth is.
As of Mar. 31, Euro Pacific Asset Management held 1.645 million shares of Barrick Gold (GOLD), 335,740 shares of Newmont (NEM), and 409,155 shares of Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM).
In fact, the three gold mining giants were the firm’s top three holdings, representing 8.0%, 5.4%, and 5.0% of its portfolio, respectively.
Gold can’t be printed out of thin air like fiat money, and its safe-haven status means demand typically increases during times of uncertainty.
If gold prices go up, miners like Newmont, Barrick, and Agnico will likely enjoy bigger profits.
Recession-proof income stocks
Dividend stocks offer investors a great way to earn a passive income stream, but some can also be used as a hedge against recessions.
Case in point: The fourth-largest holding at Euro Pacific is cigarette giant British American Tobacco (BTI), accounting for 4.6% of the portfolio.
The maker of Kent and Dunhill cigarettes offers an attractive annual yield of 7%.
Schiff’s fund also owns over 160,000 shares of Philip Morris International (PM), another tobacco king with a dividend yield of 5.2%. The Marlboro cigarette producer is Euro Pacific’s ninth-largest holding with a portfolio weighting of 3.1%.