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Shareholders might have noticed that Ranpak Holdings Corp. (NYSE:PACK) filed its yearly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 7.3% to US$6.20 in the past week. It was a pretty bad result overall; while revenues were in line with expectations at US$369m, statutory losses exploded to US$0.23 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
See our latest analysis for Ranpak Holdings
After the latest results, the three analysts covering Ranpak Holdings are now predicting revenues of US$396.3m in 2025. If met, this would reflect a modest 7.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Losses are forecast to narrow 4.3% to US$0.21 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$398.5m and losses of US$0.18 per share in 2025. While this year's revenue estimates held steady, there was also a notable increase in loss per share expectations, suggesting the consensus has a bit of a mixed view on the stock.
Despite expectations of heavier losses next year,the analysts have lifted their price target 9.8% to US$11.17, perhaps implying these losses are not expected to be recurring over the long term. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Ranpak Holdings at US$15.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$7.00. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Ranpak Holdings' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 7.4% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 4.1% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.0% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Ranpak Holdings to grow faster than the wider industry.