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Investors signalled that they were pleased with Pembina Pipeline Corporation's (TSE:PPL) most recent earnings report. According to our analysis of the report, the strong headline profit numbers are supported by strong earnings fundamentals.
See our latest analysis for Pembina Pipeline
One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Pembina Pipeline issued 5.7% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Pembina Pipeline's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
A Look At The Impact Of Pembina Pipeline's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Pembina Pipeline has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 57% in that time. And over the last 12 months, the company grew its profit by 4.4%. Meanwhile, EPS was flat over the same period. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.
In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Pembina Pipeline can grow EPS persistently. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
On top of the dilution, we should also consider the CA$616m impact of unusual items in the last year, which had the effect of suppressing profit. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Pembina Pipeline to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.
Our Take On Pembina Pipeline's Profit Performance
To sum it all up, Pembina Pipeline took a hit from unusual items which pushed its profit down; without that, it would have made more money. But on the other hand, the company issued more shares, so without buying more shares each shareholder will end up with a smaller part of the profit. Considering the aforementioned, we think that Pembina Pipeline's profits are probably a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability; although we'd be confident in that conclusion if we saw a cleaner set of results. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. While conducting our analysis, we found that Pembina Pipeline has 3 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.