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Q4 2024 Upbound Group Inc Earnings Call

In This Article:

Participants

Jeffrey Brown; Independent Chairman of the Board; Upbound Group Inc

Mitchell Fadel; Chief Executive Officer, Director; Upbound Group Inc

Fahmi Karam; Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President; Upbound Group Inc

Bobby Griffin; Analyst; Raymond James

Vincent Caintic; Analyst; BTIG

Hoang Nguyen; Analyst; TD Cowen

Kyle Joseph; Analyst; Stephens

John Hecht; Analyst; Jefferies

John Rowan; Analyst; Janney Montgomery Scott

Anthony Chukumba; Analyst; Loop Capital Markets

Bill Rutter; Analyst; Bank of America

Presentation

Operator

Hello and welcome to the Upbound Group in 4th quarter 2024 earnings conference call.
(Operator Instructions)
I would now like to turn the conference over to Jeffrey. You may begin.

Jeffrey Brown

Good morning and thank you all for joining us to discuss the company's performance for the 4th quarter and full year of 2024. We issued our earnings release this morning before the market opened, and the release and all related materials, including a link to the live webcast, are available on our website at investor.upbound.com.
On the call today from Upbound Group, we have Mitchell Fadel, our CEO, and Fahmi Karam, our CFO. As a reminder, some of the statements provided on this call are forward-looking and are subject to factors that could cause actual results to differ materially and adversely from our expectations.
These factors are described in our earnings release as well as in the company's SEC filings. Upbound Group undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements except as required by law. This call will also include references to non-gap financial measures.
Please refer to today's earnings releases, which can be found on our website for a description of the non-gap financial measures and the reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP financial measures.
Finally, abound group is not responsible for and does not edit or guarantee the accuracy of our earnings teleconference transcripts provided by third parties. Please refer to our website for the only authorized webcasts.
And with that, I'll turn the call over to Mitchell.

Mitchell Fadel

Thank you, Jeff, and good morning everyone.
Before I begin, I'd like to take a moment to address the announcement we made this morning about my decision to retire as CEO and step down from the board, as well as the appointment of Fahmi Karam as Upbound Group's next CEO effective June 1st of this year.
This transition follows a deliberate and thoughtful succession planning process in which Fay emerged as the board's unanimous choice for the role.
Fay joined the company as an EVP and Chief Financial Officer 2.5 years ago as an experienced leader with an outstanding track record of strategic and financial execution, as well as deep experience with subprime consumers.
Since then, he's become an instrumental force behind our success, including driving the Bridget acquisition. Assisting and integrating a FEMA and achieving its strong growth.
Over my 40 years at the company, this industry has changed immensely.
But we've remained at the forefront every step of the way, from brick and mortar consolidation in the 90s and 2000s, establishing the first national third party LTO business in 2005 to becoming a leader in the virtual channel today.
We remained a leader thanks to our innovative spirit and our relentless commitment to our mission to elevate financial opportunity for all.
Thanks to the stellar execution of our team, we've closed the two transformative acquisitions of AEA and Bridget and firmly established ourselves as a technology-driven growth company with a differentiated and expanding platform of financial solutions for underserved consumers.
With Upbound in a position of incredible strength, now is the right time to make this change, and Sammy is the right person to lead the company in this next chapter. I look forward to continuing to work closely with them over the coming months to ensure a smooth transition.
With that, let's begin with a review of key highlights from 2024, as well as the discussion of our priorities for 2025. Then FAI will share more detailed review of our financial results and our outlook. After that, we'll take some questions.
Let's begin with a brief look at our recent achievements which collectively represented another significant step forward for the company in our mission to elevate financial opportunity for all and to achieve our strategic growth objectives.
And the theme of the momentum we generated in the second half of 2023 continued across 2024 as we welcomed nearly a million new customers to our network by onboarding thousands of new merchants.
Reflecting the success of Acimaindustry-leading sales force, merchant productivity gains, are growing direct to consumer marketplace, and the trade down impact stemming from a tighter credit environment.
Asima was able to capture share throughout the year highlighted by numerous regional wins, and I'm pleased to announce already in the 1st quarter two more TOP50 furniture merchants have elected to move to Acima as their preferred partner.
Speaking of merchant growth, we've achieved all-time highs for active locations, which increased approximately 10% year over year.
Our large and diverse merchant roster also limits concentration risk. In fact, as TOP10 retailers represent approximately 30% of the GMV.
All of these factors in our commitment to top tier service for our consumers and our merchants helped the Acima deliver top line growth of over 17% for the year, with revenue ending at approximately $2.3 billion.
And even while serving a record number of consumers, the Acima team completed the conversion of the AO stores into Acima platform, established a field customer service network in collaboration with Rent-A-Center, and launched a lease ability engine for the Acima marketplace, which guides shoppers to lease eligible durable goods on unintegrated e-commerce sites with a broad array of merchandise.
We believe these efforts will support and extend the sea's growth into 2025 and beyond while also prudently maintaining our stable consumer risk file.
The [Rar team] focused on elevating the customer experience in 2024 while concurrently managing its operating expenses to deliver stable EA and cash flow in a challenging environment.
The successful rollout of our new point of sale system called [Rackckad] resulted in a smoother and more efficient customer journey, whether in store or online by making our co-workers more efficient in reducing manual components of their day to day responsibilities.
Behind the scenes, the team also maintained its disciplined approach to expense management, reducing labor expenses as a percentage of revenue while improving attrition rates.
Our businesses delivered these results during a period in which economic and regulatory uncertainty were the norms.
Overall, it really emphasized the durability and resilience of the business model to drive profitable outcomes across economic environments.
When macroeconomic conditions are more cautious.
We can tighten at one end while welcoming higher income consumers into the top of the funnel. This helps us manage at least charge us while protecting our stable base of volume.
And when conditions are more constructive for all consumers, we can accommodate more of them across all income levels, which helps us drive additional top line growth with margin expansion at losses within our long-term targets.
So we're excited about the opportunities ahead of us in 2025 brings the addition of Bridget.
A business with its own impressive growth profile plus the ability to amplify the growth of Rent-A-Centerand Acima through its current lineup of products and capabilities.
I'll remind you our Bridget colleagues officially joined Upbound when the acquisition closed on January 30th first.
And as we shared in mid-December when we announced the deal, Bridget brings a host of new digital products that will complement what we already offer our consumers.
Their liquidity solutions through earned wage access, credit building programs and financial literacy tools will help us improve our customers' financial health while engaging with them more frequently compared to only when they need a big ticket durable good.
One of the reasons Upbound was attracted to Bridget is our customer demographic overlap is so large, yet the actual customer overlap is so small. We're incredibly excited for that opportunity to introduce our millions of customers to the Bridget ecosystem while benefiting from the reverse energies of leveraging Bridge's capabilities to enhance our underwriting and customer acquisition strategies.
Across 2025, we'll look forward to seeing Bridget continue to grow and run the center see executing their operating plans while testing collaboration opportunities across our brands to accelerate our growth profile. In fact, by the end of this year, we're expecting about 2/3 of adjusted EBITDA before corporate expenses.
Will come from our tech enabled channels including Acima Bridget, and Renaenter.com, and we expect that share to increase in the coming years.
Overall, we see the business continuing to shift to a digital first platform that further aligned with consumers, with the Siemen Bridget leading the way with their virtual and mobile solutions and Rent-A-Centercontinuing to evolve to offer its customers a frictionless omnichannel experience whether in store or online.
Now before moving on to our 2025 priorities, let's go to slide 4 and recap our consolidated financial results for Q4.
Fourth quarter revenue of nearly $1.1 billion was a 6% increase from a year ago period, mainly driven by strength of the Acima.
Upbound delivered $123 million of adjusted EBITDA, which was a list of over 14% year over year, and adjusted EBITDA margins of 11.4%, which was up 80 basis points from last year.
Non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.05 which was nearly 30% higher than a year ago quarter.
Each of these figures are within our or above the implied midpoint of guidance we provided on our last call, and in terms of consolidated lease charge-offs, we finished at 7.3% for the quarter, which was 20 basis points better relative to last year's fourth quarter or 2023's fourth quarter where the LCO rate was 7.5%. So having said that, let's move to the full year results on slide 5.
For the full year, our revenue grew 8.2% to over $4.3 billion, representing the second highest on record for upbound behind fiscal year 2021, which of course benefited from stimulus in the pandemic-related pull forward in the furniture sector.
As Family will discuss though, we expect to beat 2021's record with our top line performance this year.
Adjusted EBITDA for the year was over $473 million which was up 3.8% from the prior year.
In the segment breakdown, family will discuss the drivers for Run the center last year and the tactical levers will pull it to Acima in 2025 to see more flow through it from its top line growth.
Consolidated lease charge-offs for the year to 7.3%, which was the same rate as I just mentioned for the fourth quarter, up slightly from fiscal year 2023, which was 7.1%. Our non-gap diluted EPS was $3.83 compared to $3.55 in 2023, an 8% improvement.
And in line with our guidance last quarter and in line with the framework for growth that we introduced in our investor day in 2023.
Overall, I'm really pleased with the strong performance that our team delivered in 2024. The Rent-A-Center segment successfully navigated a number of challenges across the year between the uncertain environment for Rent-A-Center's core consumer, pressure on demand and payment behavior as inflation continued to take a toll in an evolving competitive landscape. Despite those hurdles.
The entire Rent-A-Center team stayed focused and grew Adjusted EBITDA up by 5.4%. Well, simultaneously investing to advance the segment's digital capabilities going forward.
At Acima , we introduced more merchants and more consumers to our virtual LTL platform, which enabled the segment to print its 4th consecutive quarter of double digit top line growth.
The Acima's revenue grew over 17% in 2024, which is really impressive when it comes off a base of nearly $2 billion in 2023.
A portion of that growth came from trade down that we saw across the year, which pressured it seem as even on margins by more than 200 basis points the first three quarters of the year when compared to the prior year. But that GAAP narrowed pretty significantly to 90 basis points in Q4.
And we expect our 2025 margin profile to improve over 2024 to be within our low to mid-teens target.
And that's a good segue into our priorities for 2025, so let's move to slide 6.
On slide 6, let's discuss the strategic priorities that will guide our efforts this year. Acima strategic imperatives for 2025 are organized around 3 key pillars. Our merchants, our customers, and our margins.
For our merchants, we'll continue to expand the core LTO offering across our key verticals furniture, wheel, and tire, jewelry, and electronics.
That effort will be deployed across two vectors which are adding new merchants to our platform.
And driving more leases per merchant through compelling offers and attentive customer service.
The focus on merchant growth and satisfaction has been a hallmark of the Acima since its founding, and it will be a key part of our growth strategy going forward.
And this year we're amplifying our commitment to our customers, similar to the importance of increasing productivity with our merchants. It's equally, if not more important, to increase our repeat business with our first-time consumers.
We're removing friction points for familiar customers and making upgrades to our Acima marketplace where our shoppers can find a vast assortment of leasable durable goods.
Just last month we had a Walmart, Amazon and Target as new on integrated retail options for our consumers. Pretty impressive list there. We'll also test an improved virtual lease cards so that our customers have the freedom and flexibility to shop at any online and physical location for the leasable products they need in that moment.
With this new product, our customers are not limited to the roster of retailers that are our active partners, so that lineup is really robust, as with tens of thousands of locations. This technology offers them access to Acima at their fingertips at most checkout counters just by using the app.
Whenever and wherever our customers are shopping for durable goods, the Acima will be ready to meet their needs and give them confidence to take on the products they want with the flexibility of our least own solutions.
The Acima will complement that GMV growth with a separate yet equally important commitment to customer lifetime value, product profitability, and prudent expense management.
The trade down we've seen in the second half of 2024 helped drive a portion of the double digit GMV and top line growth, but those customers are electing the earliest purchase option more often than our traditional customers.
This development does have several positive implications, including the ability for men to acquire new and repeat customers for lower costs.
And to grow the business at a lower loss profile.
The Acima now has a new sizable cohort of customers who understand and appreciate the flexibility and value offered by the leased owned transaction.
The Acima folks, our team will work to capitalize on these new relationships by guiding them back to our merchants through our marketplace for subsequent leases and by introducing them to the virtual lease card that I just mentioned.
To supplement that work, the Acima team will feature to its customers a robust lineup of leasable products. We'll remain disciplined in pricing and underwriting with a hyper focus on maintaining an appropriate expense structure that produces operating leverage as we continue to grow.
Our plan for 2025 calls for a step up in those margins and family will cover that in a little more detail here in a bit.
Shifting over to Rent-A-Center, unlike Acima, Rent-A-Center does not directly benefit from trade down in a retailer's checkout waterfall, and it's not expanding its overall footprint to new locations. So as we tightened underwriting in the second half of the year in a response to performance indicators that put pressure on the portfolio value.
Open lease count and lease portfolio value on a same store basis are expected to be slightly lower across the first part of the year as the team monitors signs of consumer confidence and performance improvements.
In addition to our disciplined underwriting, the recent liquidation sales across certain former competitors have also absorbed a portion of holiday demand for durable goods. We believe that most of those liquidation events are completed. It should not impact us moving into 2025.
Over our years in the business, our Rent-A-Center team has handled shifting economic cycles and customer performance metrics before, and we'll do what we always do, which is adapt to the needs of our market and our consumers and shift our approach.
The pandemic prompted us to strengthen our online channel, and our strategy is to continue to focus on web traffic in response to consumer shopping habits. We're focused on continuing to grow the online portion of the rack business by investing in our e-commerce capabilities to streamline the fixed cost base and make Rent-A-Center more nimble across different cycles. Let me give you an example.
Think about the millions of customers that visit us monthly on RenoCenter.com.
Our focus is to convert more of those visitors and the customers, and we're doing that by streamlining and improving the website experience, the checkout process, and the communication with the store. Working with Google.
We're eliminating friction points on the customer journey and elevating the shopping experience to greater personalization and on-time offers to the right customers.
This includes AI enabled search functionality to feature the durable goods that are the best fit for that shopper sourced from over 1,000 products on Recenter.com.
And as our web channel grows, we're evolving our customer identity validation and underwriting tools as well to ensure responsible risk adjusted outcomes, no matter the customer acquisition channel.
The Rent-A-Center team is also deploying an upgraded platform for pricing and promotions which can deliver unique offers to specific customers for individual products.
This next level targeting will improve personalized, more relevant and actionable communications with our consumers while also helping the business manage its inventory based on real-time metrics like rental status, age, and remaining value of the product.
Pretty exciting stuff and the technology side at Rent-A-Center.
Now moving to bridge it, we previewed its priorities for 2025 when we announced the deal mid-December, and those goals haven't changed.
Bridget's product lineup, which I highlighted earlier, offers our shared targeted consumer, a value proposition that really resonates in this economic climate but also meets a critical market need regardless of economic conditions.
The Bridget leadership team will look to extend their growth curve in 2025 by introducing those products to new consumers, including consumers who have interacted with the Acima Rent-A-Center
Bridge's planned for this year also includes testing and learning of new digital products and services in the financial health space.
We'll have more fulsome updates on those initiatives as we move across the year, and as a reminder, Bridge's co-founders Zubin Matthews and Hamel Kotari will continue to lead the team's efforts just as they have since the company's inception.
And with such strong leadership across all three of our major segments, I'm very confident we'll be able to achieve the goals I've outlined here and that our combined business will create meaningful value for our customers and for our stakeholders in 2025.
Of course all of these goals are a team effort. I feel so privileged to work with what I know is the best team in our industry, and each day our colleagues and co-workers across North America take immense pride in helping our customers lead better lives with our innovative and flexible financial solutions, and I'd like to thank them for their passion and their dedication to the upbound business and to the financially underserved community.
And with that, I'll hand it over to Fay.